StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Spezia v Empoli

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-17 19:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Spezia (Heim)

Prognose 36.26%2.76faire Quote
EV -2.84%
Vorteil -1.06%
Kelly -1.69%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.68

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
35.20%36.31%36.15%37.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.302.512.502.6843.48%39.86%40.00%37.31%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Empoli (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.90%3.13faire Quote
EV -2.06%
Vorteil -0.670%
Kelly -0.994%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.07

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.74%31.89%31.90%34.08%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.502.882.903.0740.00%34.76%34.48%32.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 31.84%3.14faire Quote
EV -1.29%
Vorteil -0.417%
Kelly -0.615%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.34%31.80%31.95%33.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.452.862.853.1040.82%34.95%35.09%32.26%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Spezia (Heim): 36.26%; Empoli (Auswärts): 31.90%; Unentschieden: 31.84%. Für Unentschieden entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.14. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 3.10, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.29%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.11%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.52%EV -2.06%E -0.670%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.37%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-17 18:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.95%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 18:35
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 18:35
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.40%EV -5.25%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 18:50
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 18:40
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 18:40
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 18:55
1xBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.19%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -2.88%E -0.945%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 18:50
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -6.46%E -2.50%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.02%E -2.41%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 18:35
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -6.46%E -2.50%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.02%E -2.41%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 18:35
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -1.29%E -0.417%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 18:50
Bovada🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.25%EV -7.91%E -3.11%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -9.89%E -3.49%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 18:39
BetUS🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.25%EV -7.91%E -3.11%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -9.89%E -3.49%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 18:40
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 18:30
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:15
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:15
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:15
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.08%E -3.18%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.08%E -3.18%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 18:55
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 18:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 18:35
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.08%E -3.18%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-17 18:35
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 18:40
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -14.03%E -5.20%K -8.25%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-17 18:40
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -14.03%E -5.20%K -8.25%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-17 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.68%EV -10.09%E -4.07%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.68%EV -10.09%E -4.07%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 18:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.17%EV -10.45%E -4.23%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.68%EV -10.03%E -3.56%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.14%EV -11.48%E -4.13%K -6.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 18:32
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 18:33
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 18:50
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-17 18:50
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -12.44%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 23:09
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.43%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.01%EV -16.26%E -6.18%K -9.97%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-17 18:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -12.99%E -5.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-17 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -12.99%E -5.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -13.86%E -5.13%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.21%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-17 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -12.99%E -5.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -20.24%E -8.10%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-17 18:46
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.25%EV -13.71%E -5.76%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.93%EV -16.41%E -6.26%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.81%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-17 18:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 36.25%EV -14.07%E -5.94%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.58%EV -13.22%E -4.86%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.17%EV -14.98%E -5.61%K -8.97%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-17 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 35.20%EV -16.61%E -7.22%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 31.75%EV -18.65%E -7.31%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.05%EV -21.99%E -8.97%K -15.16%G +0.000%23.5%2026-03-17 18:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-03-17 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-03-17 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-03-17 18:55
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-03-17 18:55
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.57%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%2.6%2026-03-17 18:55