A Escola das Odds

Sampdoria v Monza

Início: 2026-04-17 18:30 UTC

Final: Sampdoria 0–3 Monza

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sampdoria (Local)

Previsão 27.20%3.68odd justa
EV +1.46%
Vantagem +0.392%
Kelly +0.536%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.82%27.22%27.16%28.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.333.273.7332.26%30.02%30.53%26.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Monza (Visitante)

Previsão 41.98%2.38odd justa
EV -3.44%
Vantagem -1.49%
Kelly -2.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.29%41.97%42.07%44.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.192.202.3052.36%45.57%45.45%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.81%3.25odd justa
EV -2.94%
Vantagem -0.932%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.28%30.81%30.78%32.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.983.003.1536.36%33.53%33.33%31.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle3.73I 26.81%NM 25.93%EV +1.46%E +0.392%K +0.536%G +0.008%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.05%EV -3.44%E -1.49%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.02%EV -6.94%E -2.30%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 18:15
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.07%E -0.576%K -0.797%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.42%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.34%EV -10.02%E -3.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 18:04
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.07%E -0.576%K -0.797%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.42%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.34%EV -10.02%E -3.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 18:05
Marathon Bet3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -3.16%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.99%EV -6.80%E -3.06%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -9.72%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:25
Codere (IT)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -3.43%E -0.967%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.81%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -2.94%E -0.932%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 18:04
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.43%E -0.967%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 18:00
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -3.43%E -0.967%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:13
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -3.43%E -0.967%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:15
1xBet3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -3.70%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -4.70%E -2.07%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.34%EV -6.63%E -2.19%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 18:24
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -9.10%E -3.08%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:19
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:14
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.10%E -3.08%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 18:00
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -3.44%E -1.49%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -2.94%E -0.932%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 18:05
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 18:05
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.47%E -3.89%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:00
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.47%E -3.89%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:00
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.43%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.76%EV -11.56%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 18:05
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -13.72%E -4.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 18:19
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%EV -13.93%E -6.80%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.10%E -3.08%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-17 18:04
Betclic (FR)3.33I 30.03%NM 26.81%EV -9.42%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.92%EV -12.67%E -6.09%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -9.10%E -3.08%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-17 18:08
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:00
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:00
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 17:59
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:00
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:04
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.83%E -5.63%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 18:04
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -15.26%E -5.55%K -8.72%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-17 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.60%EV -19.81%E -10.37%K -21.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.58%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-17 18:05
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 18:05
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:30
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:34
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:30
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:30
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:30
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:30
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:30
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:39
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:30
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:30
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 18:04
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 18:04
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.18%E -4.27%K -6.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-17 18:04
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-17 18:04
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-17 18:04
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-17 18:04
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -11.83%E -5.63%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.53%EV -14.65%E -5.29%K -8.27%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-17 18:15
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 17:34
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 18:04
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 17:30
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 17:30
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -13.93%E -6.80%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -9.10%E -3.08%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-17 18:00
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -14.31%E -4.54%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 18:04
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -14.31%E -4.54%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -8.47%E -3.89%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -9.10%E -3.08%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 17:30
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -15.67%E -5.06%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.18%EV -10.15%E -4.74%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-17 17:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-04-17 18:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-04-17 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-04-17 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-04-17 18:24
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.36%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.67%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.97%2.5%2026-04-17 18:20