L’École des cotes

Sampdoria v Monza

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-17 18:30 UTC

Score final : Sampdoria 0–3 Monza

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sampdoria (Local)

Prévision 27.20%3.68cote équitable
EV +1.46%
Avantage +0.392%
Kelly +0.536%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 3.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.82%27.22%27.16%28.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.333.273.7332.26%30.02%30.53%26.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Monza (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.98%2.38cote équitable
EV -3.44%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -2.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.29%41.97%42.07%44.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.192.202.3052.36%45.57%45.45%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.81%3.25cote équitable
EV -2.94%
Avantage -0.932%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.28%30.81%30.78%32.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.983.003.1536.36%33.53%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.73I 26.81%NM 25.93%EV +1.46%E +0.392%K +0.536%G +0.008%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.05%EV -3.44%E -1.49%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.02%EV -6.94%E -2.30%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 18:15
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.07%E -0.576%K -0.797%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.42%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.34%EV -10.02%E -3.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 18:04
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.07%E -0.576%K -0.797%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.42%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.34%EV -10.02%E -3.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 18:05
Marathon Bet3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -3.16%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.99%EV -6.80%E -3.06%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -9.72%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:25
Codere (IT)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -3.43%E -0.967%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.81%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -2.94%E -0.932%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 18:04
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.43%E -0.967%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 18:00
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -3.43%E -0.967%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:13
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -3.43%E -0.967%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:15
1xBet3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -3.70%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -4.70%E -2.07%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.34%EV -6.63%E -2.19%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 18:24
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -9.10%E -3.08%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:19
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:14
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.10%E -3.08%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 18:00
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -3.44%E -1.49%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -2.94%E -0.932%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 18:05
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 18:05
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.47%E -3.89%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:00
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.47%E -3.89%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:00
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.43%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.76%EV -11.56%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 18:05
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -13.72%E -4.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 18:19
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%EV -13.93%E -6.80%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.10%E -3.08%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-17 18:04
Betclic (FR)3.33I 30.03%NM 26.81%EV -9.42%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.92%EV -12.67%E -6.09%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -9.10%E -3.08%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-17 18:08
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:00
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:00
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 17:59
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:00
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:04
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.83%E -5.63%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 18:04
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -15.26%E -5.55%K -8.72%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-17 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.60%EV -19.81%E -10.37%K -21.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.58%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-17 18:05
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 18:05
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:30
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:34
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:30
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:30
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:30
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:30
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:30
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:39
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:30
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:30
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 18:04
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 18:04
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.18%E -4.27%K -6.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-17 18:04
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-17 18:04
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-17 18:04
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-17 18:04
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -11.83%E -5.63%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.53%EV -14.65%E -5.29%K -8.27%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-17 18:15
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 17:34
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 18:04
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 17:30
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 17:30
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -13.93%E -6.80%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -9.10%E -3.08%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-17 18:00
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -14.31%E -4.54%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 18:04
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -14.31%E -4.54%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -8.47%E -3.89%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -9.10%E -3.08%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 17:30
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -15.67%E -5.06%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.18%EV -10.15%E -4.74%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-17 17:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-04-17 18:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-04-17 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-04-17 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-04-17 18:24
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.36%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.67%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.97%2.5%2026-04-17 18:20