Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sampdoria v Juve Stabia

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 17:02 UTC

Final: Sampdoria 1–2 Juve Stabia

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sampdoria (Local)

Prediction 52.34%1.91fair odd
EV +0.498%
Edge +0.259%
Kelly +0.541%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.61%52.43%52.38%54.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.771.771.9260.61%56.43%56.50%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Juve Stabia (Visit)

Prediction 19.90%5.02fair odd
EV +5.49%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.070%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.75%19.83%19.82%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.554.505.3024.39%21.97%22.22%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.75%3.60fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -0.818%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.07%27.74%27.80%29.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.283.303.5033.33%30.51%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sampdoria (Local): 52.34%; Juve Stabia (Visit): 19.90%; Draw: 27.75%. For Juve Stabia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.02. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.49%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.22%EV -6.83%E -3.84%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +5.49%E +1.04%K +1.28%G +0.070%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.57%EV -2.86%E -0.818%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 16:45
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.14%EV -10.49%E -6.14%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV +3.50%E +0.673%K +0.834%G +0.029%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 16:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.29%EV -11.02%E -6.48%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV +3.50%E +0.673%K +0.834%G +0.029%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -8.92%E -5.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -0.479%E -0.096%K -0.120%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 16:55
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.26%E -2.91%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.31%EV -2.07%E -0.421%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.19%EV -6.47%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 16:55
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.88%E -4.48%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -2.47%E -0.504%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81%EV -4.46%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 16:45
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.72%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.77%EV -4.46%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -6.83%E -3.84%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.46%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -6.83%E -3.84%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.46%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.30%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -4.46%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -9.97%E -5.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -4.46%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.16%EV -10.36%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 16:39
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.99%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 16:40
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.45%E -5.46%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.45%E -5.46%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:50
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -10.49%E -6.14%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.09%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 15:50
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -8.44%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -8.44%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 16:54
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -8.44%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 16:40
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -8.44%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -11.02%E -6.48%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -8.44%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.88%EV -13.63%E -8.26%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.97%EV -8.44%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-29 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.55%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -2.86%E -0.818%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.85%EV -3.69%E -2.01%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:40
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:40
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -7.35%E -4.15%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -12.58%E -3.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.38%EV -11.02%E -6.48%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.48%EV -12.59%E -7.54%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.70%EV -11.43%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.82%EV -12.58%E -3.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-29 16:40
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -7.35%E -4.15%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -12.42%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 16:50
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -12.42%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:55
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -12.42%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -12.42%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -12.42%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.22%EV -8.92%E -5.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -12.42%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 16:40
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -13.82%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.53%EV -6.83%E -3.84%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -14.41%E -3.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -12.58%E -3.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.83%EV -9.97%E -5.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -14.41%E -3.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -15.41%E -3.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.79%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -15.41%E -3.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.46%EV -7.88%E -4.48%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.90%EV -15.41%E -3.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV +0.498%E +0.259%K +0.541%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.40%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.94%EV -6.83%E -3.84%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -16.40%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 16:55
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -16.40%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -16.40%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 16:55
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -16.40%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -16.40%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -16.40%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.47%EV -11.02%E -6.48%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.93%EV -18.39%E -4.49%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -16.74%E -5.58%K -8.37%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-29 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.62%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.62%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-29 16:55
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.89%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-08-29 16:55
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%1.8%2026-08-29 16:55