Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sampdoria v Juve Stabia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 17:02 UTC

Score final : Sampdoria 1–2 Juve Stabia

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sampdoria (Local)

Prévision 52.34%1.91cote équitable
EV +0.498%
Avantage +0.259%
Kelly +0.541%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.61%52.43%52.38%54.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.771.771.9260.61%56.43%56.50%52.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Juve Stabia (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.90%5.02cote équitable
EV +5.49%
Avantage +1.04%
Kelly +1.28%
Croissance +0.070%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.75%19.83%19.82%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.554.505.3024.39%21.97%22.22%18.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.75%3.60cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -0.818%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.07%27.74%27.80%29.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.283.303.5033.33%30.51%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sampdoria (Local) : 52.34% ; Juve Stabia (Visiteur) : 19.90% ; Match nul : 27.75%. Pour Juve Stabia (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.02. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.30, soit une espérance positive de +5.49%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.22%EV -6.83%E -3.84%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +5.49%E +1.04%K +1.28%G +0.070%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.57%EV -2.86%E -0.818%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 16:45
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.14%EV -10.49%E -6.14%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV +3.50%E +0.673%K +0.834%G +0.029%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 16:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.29%EV -11.02%E -6.48%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV +3.50%E +0.673%K +0.834%G +0.029%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -8.92%E -5.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -0.479%E -0.096%K -0.120%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 16:55
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.26%E -2.91%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.31%EV -2.07%E -0.421%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.19%EV -6.47%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 16:55
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.88%E -4.48%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -2.47%E -0.504%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81%EV -4.46%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 16:45
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.72%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.77%EV -4.46%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -6.83%E -3.84%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.46%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -6.83%E -3.84%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.46%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.30%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -4.46%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -9.97%E -5.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -4.46%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.16%EV -10.36%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 16:39
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.99%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 16:40
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.45%E -5.46%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.45%E -5.46%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:50
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -10.49%E -6.14%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.09%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 15:50
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -8.44%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -8.44%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 16:54
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -8.44%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 16:40
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -8.44%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -11.02%E -6.48%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -8.44%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.88%EV -13.63%E -8.26%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.97%EV -8.44%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-29 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.55%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -2.86%E -0.818%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.85%EV -3.69%E -2.01%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:40
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:40
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -7.35%E -4.15%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -12.58%E -3.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.38%EV -11.02%E -6.48%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.48%EV -12.59%E -7.54%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.70%EV -11.43%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.82%EV -12.58%E -3.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-29 16:40
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -7.35%E -4.15%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -12.42%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 16:50
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -12.42%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:55
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -12.42%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -12.42%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -12.42%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.22%EV -8.92%E -5.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -12.42%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 16:40
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -13.82%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.53%EV -6.83%E -3.84%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -14.41%E -3.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -12.58%E -3.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.83%EV -9.97%E -5.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -14.41%E -3.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -15.41%E -3.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.79%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -15.41%E -3.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.46%EV -7.88%E -4.48%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.90%EV -15.41%E -3.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV +0.498%E +0.259%K +0.541%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.40%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.94%EV -6.83%E -3.84%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -16.40%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 16:55
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -16.40%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -16.40%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 16:55
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -16.40%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -16.40%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -16.40%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.47%EV -11.02%E -6.48%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.93%EV -18.39%E -4.49%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -16.74%E -5.58%K -8.37%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-29 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.62%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.62%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-29 16:55
Matchbook◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.89%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-08-29 16:55
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%1.8%2026-08-29 16:55