Language:English
Sampdoria v Bari
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sampdoria (Local)
Prediction 54.32%1.84fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -5.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.11%54.32%54.34%55.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.711.731.7765.79%58.56%57.97%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bari (Visit)
Prediction 18.19%5.50fair odd
EV +3.14%
Edge +0.553%
Kelly +0.672%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 5.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.67%18.17%18.16%19.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.944.805.6721.74%20.23%20.83%17.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.49%3.64fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -0.755%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.79%27.50%27.49%28.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.323.303.5432.79%30.14%30.30%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sampdoria (Local): 54.32%; Bari (Visit): 18.19%; Draw: 27.49%. For Bari (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.50. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.67I 17.64%NM 17.01%EV +3.14%E +0.553%K +0.672%G +0.021% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.24%EV -2.67%E -0.755%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.88%EV -9.29%E -5.56%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +1.86%E +0.333%K +0.405%G +0.008% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.91%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.51I 18.15%NM 17.24%EV +0.226%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.86%EV -6.25%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 19:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.70%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV +0.044%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 15:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.70%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV +0.044%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 15:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.75%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -1.77%E -0.329%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.14%EV -9.29%E -5.56%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -3.59%E -0.678%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 19:46 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.14%EV -9.29%E -5.56%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -3.59%E -0.678%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 19:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -10.38%E -6.29%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -3.59%E -0.678%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.95%E -2.83%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -4.50%E -0.858%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 15:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -4.50%E -0.858%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.25%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -4.50%E -0.858%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.40%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -4.50%E -0.858%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.58%EV -7.12%E -4.16%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -6.32%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -6.32%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 14:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -6.32%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -7.12%E -4.16%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 15:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -7.12%E -4.16%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-27 19:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.29%E -5.56%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -10.38%E -6.29%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -12.01%E -7.41%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.64%EV -12.01%E -7.41%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.87%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.23%EV -8.75%E -5.21%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-27 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -8.75%E -5.21%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.83%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -11.46%E -7.03%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.10%EV -12.01%E -7.41%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 27.65%EV -12.84%E -4.05%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.78%EV -14.72%E -9.38%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.92%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-02-27 19:43 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 55.10%EV -17.44%E -11.47%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.45%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.46%EV -16.14%E -5.29%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-02-27 19:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.38%EV -9.29%E -5.56%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -13.60%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-27 15:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -4.95%E -2.83%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.58%E -3.82%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.73%EV -10.92%E -6.66%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.11%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-27 14:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.97% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95% | 0.3% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.97% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95% | 0.3% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.76% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.51% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.51% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |