La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sampdoria v Bari
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sampdoria (Local)
Predicción 54.32%1.84momio equitativo
EV -3.86%
Ventaja -2.18%
Kelly -5.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.11%54.32%54.34%55.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.711.731.7765.79%58.56%57.97%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Bari (Visitante)
Predicción 18.19%5.50momio equitativo
EV +3.14%
Ventaja +0.553%
Kelly +0.672%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.67%18.17%18.16%19.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.604.944.805.6721.74%20.23%20.83%17.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.49%3.64momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -0.755%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.79%27.50%27.49%28.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.323.303.5432.79%30.14%30.30%28.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.67I 17.64%NM 17.01%EV +3.14%E +0.553%K +0.672%G +0.021% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.24%EV -2.67%E -0.755%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.88%EV -9.29%E -5.56%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +1.86%E +0.333%K +0.405%G +0.008% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| 1xBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.91%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.51I 18.15%NM 17.24%EV +0.226%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.86%EV -6.25%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 19:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.70%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV +0.044%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 15:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.70%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV +0.044%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 15:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.75%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -1.77%E -0.329%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 14:55 |
| Bovada | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.14%EV -9.29%E -5.56%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -3.59%E -0.678%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 19:46 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.14%EV -9.29%E -5.56%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -3.59%E -0.678%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 19:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -10.38%E -6.29%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -3.59%E -0.678%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.95%E -2.83%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -4.50%E -0.858%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 15:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -4.50%E -0.858%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.25%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -4.50%E -0.858%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.40%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -4.50%E -0.858%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.58%EV -7.12%E -4.16%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -6.32%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -6.32%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 14:49 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -6.32%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 14:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -7.12%E -4.16%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 15:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -7.12%E -4.16%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 15:50 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-27 19:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.29%E -5.56%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -10.38%E -6.29%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -12.01%E -7.41%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.64%EV -12.01%E -7.41%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.87%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.23%EV -8.75%E -5.21%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-27 14:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -8.75%E -5.21%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.83%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -11.46%E -7.03%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.10%EV -12.01%E -7.41%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 27.65%EV -12.84%E -4.05%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.78%EV -14.72%E -9.38%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.92%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-02-27 19:43 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 55.10%EV -17.44%E -11.47%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.45%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.46%EV -16.14%E -5.29%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-02-27 19:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.38%EV -9.29%E -5.56%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -13.60%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-27 15:10 |
| Unibet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Casumo | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:05 |
| betPARX | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -4.95%E -2.83%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.58%E -3.82%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.73%EV -10.92%E -6.66%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.11%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-27 14:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.97% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95% | 0.3% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.97% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95% | 0.3% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.76% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.51% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.51% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |