L’École des cotes

Sampdoria v Bari

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sampdoria (Local)

Prévision 54.32%1.84cote équitable
EV -3.86%
Avantage -2.18%
Kelly -5.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.11%54.32%54.34%55.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.711.731.7765.79%58.56%57.97%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bari (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.19%5.50cote équitable
EV +3.14%
Avantage +0.553%
Kelly +0.672%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 5.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.67%18.17%18.16%19.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.604.944.805.6721.74%20.23%20.83%17.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.49%3.64cote équitable
EV -2.67%
Avantage -0.755%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.79%27.50%27.49%28.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.323.303.5432.79%30.14%30.30%28.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 17.01%EV +3.14%E +0.553%K +0.672%G +0.021%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.24%EV -2.67%E -0.755%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 19:54
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.88%EV -9.29%E -5.56%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +1.86%E +0.333%K +0.405%G +0.008%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 19:34
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.91%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.24%EV +0.226%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.86%EV -6.25%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 19:49
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.70%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV +0.044%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 15:09
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.70%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV +0.044%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 15:09
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.75%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -1.77%E -0.329%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 14:55
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 55.14%EV -9.29%E -5.56%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -3.59%E -0.678%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:46
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 55.14%EV -9.29%E -5.56%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -3.59%E -0.678%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:44
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -10.38%E -6.29%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -3.59%E -0.678%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:39
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.95%E -2.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -4.50%E -0.858%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 15:40
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -4.50%E -0.858%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 19:24
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.25%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -4.50%E -0.858%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 19:34
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.40%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -4.50%E -0.858%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 14:49
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.58%EV -7.12%E -4.16%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -6.32%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 19:39
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -6.32%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 14:49
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -6.32%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 14:49
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 19:19
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -7.12%E -4.16%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 15:40
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -7.12%E -4.16%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 15:50
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 19:30
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.29%E -5.56%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-27 19:39
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -10.38%E -6.29%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-27 19:34
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -12.01%E -7.41%K -19.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-27 19:34
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.64%EV -12.01%E -7.41%K -19.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -9.05%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-27 19:34
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.87%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 19:19
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:15
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:19
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:19
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:15
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.23%EV -8.75%E -5.21%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 14:50
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -8.75%E -5.21%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.83%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-27 19:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -11.46%E -7.03%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-27 19:34
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.10%EV -12.01%E -7.41%K -19.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.65%EV -12.84%E -4.05%K -5.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-27 19:34
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.78%EV -14.72%E -9.38%K -25.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.92%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-27 19:43
PMU (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 55.10%EV -17.44%E -11.47%K -33.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.45%EV -12.69%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.46%EV -16.14%E -5.29%K -7.88%G +0.000%19.4%2026-02-27 19:35
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.38%EV -9.29%E -5.56%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -13.60%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-27 15:10
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 19:05
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 19:04
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 19:04
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 19:04
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 19:04
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 19:04
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 19:05
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 19:05
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 19:05
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -14.51%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 19:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -4.95%E -2.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 19:04
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 19:04
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 19:04
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.58%E -3.82%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-27 19:04
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 19:19
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 19:19
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.73%EV -10.92%E -6.66%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -16.33%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.11%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.5%2026-02-27 14:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.97%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%0.3%2026-02-27 19:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.97%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%0.3%2026-02-27 19:54
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.76%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-02-27 19:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.51%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-02-27 19:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.51%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-02-27 19:54