Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.90
assuming max odds 1.63
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Reggiana (Local): 17.08%; Palermo (Visit): 58.76%; Draw: 24.17%. For Reggiana (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.85. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.771%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV +0.771%E +0.131%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -10.10%E -6.60%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 13:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.34%EV -0.937%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.61%EV -6.58%E -4.14%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.05%EV -4.79%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 12:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -0.937%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 19:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -1.79%E -0.311%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -5.99%E -3.74%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.34%E -0.835%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 16:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -6.58%E -4.14%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.34%E -0.835%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 13:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -6.58%E -4.14%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 13:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -6.58%E -4.14%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 09:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-20 01:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 16:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 16:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.03%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 12:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.03%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 23:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -8.93%E -5.76%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 14:43 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -10.10%E -6.60%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 13:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -6.91%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.66%EV -6.58%E -4.14%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -6.96%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 15:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.33%EV -4.23%E -2.59%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 10:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 14:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 14:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.65%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.36I 18.66%NM 17.48%EV -8.45%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.19%EV -5.40%E -3.36%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.96%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 15:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -9.48%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.47%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -9.48%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.47%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -4.82%E -2.97%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 13:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 13:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 12:53 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.49%EV -9.52%E -6.18%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -10.10%E -6.60%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-22 13:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.97%EV -11.18%E -2.15%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.84%EV -11.87%E -7.91%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.78%EV -11.18%E -2.15%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.97%EV -13.04%E -8.81%K -27.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-23 01:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.94%EV -12.04%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -5.99%E -3.74%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.94%EV -12.04%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -5.99%E -3.74%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 09:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.18%EV -7.17%E -4.54%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 12:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -8.93%E -5.76%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 01:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -8.93%E -5.76%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 01:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -8.93%E -5.76%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 01:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.10%E -6.60%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-20 06:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -11.87%E -7.91%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -17.84%E -5.25%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-22 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.99%EV -15.45%E -3.12%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.82%EV -9.52%E -6.18%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.20%EV -11.07%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.88%EV -15.45%E -3.12%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.86%EV -10.10%E -6.60%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.25%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -19.72%E -4.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.39%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 01:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.19%EV -23.14%E -5.14%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 56.82%EV -10.69%E -7.03%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-23 01:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 13:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.20% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.98% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 19:14 |