L’École des cotes

Reggiana v Palermo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Reggiana (Local)

Prévision 17.08%5.85cote équitable
EV +0.771%
Avantage +0.131%
Kelly +0.157%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.70%17.06%17.08%19.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.345.405.9022.22%18.74%18.52%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Palermo (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.76%1.70cote équitable
EV -4.23%
Avantage -2.59%
Kelly -6.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.82%58.77%58.74%60.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.561.561.6367.57%64.01%64.10%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.17%4.14cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -0.835%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.56%24.17%24.18%25.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.773.804.0029.41%26.50%26.32%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV +0.771%E +0.131%K +0.157%G +0.001%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -10.10%E -6.60%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 13:03
Pinnacle5.80I 17.24%NM 16.34%EV -0.937%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.61%EV -6.58%E -4.14%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.05%EV -4.79%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 12:49
Tipico (DE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -0.937%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 19:14
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -1.79%E -0.311%K -0.377%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -5.99%E -3.74%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.34%E -0.835%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 16:05
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -6.58%E -4.14%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.34%E -0.835%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 13:15
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -6.58%E -4.14%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 13:04
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -6.58%E -4.14%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 09:45
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 01:10
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:04
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:04
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.03%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 12:55
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.03%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 23:04
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 14:45
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -8.93%E -5.76%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 14:43
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -10.10%E -6.60%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 13:15
Marathon Bet5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -6.91%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.66%EV -6.58%E -4.14%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -6.96%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 15:14
Codere (IT)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.33%EV -4.23%E -2.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 10:39
LowVig.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:04
BetOnline.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:04
Unibet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Grosvenor5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
TABtouch5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
BetRivers5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Casumo5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
betPARX5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.65%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 00:30
1xBet5.36I 18.66%NM 17.48%EV -8.45%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.19%EV -5.40%E -3.36%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.96%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 15:14
LiveScore Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -9.48%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.47%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-20 00:30
Virgin Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -9.48%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.47%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -4.82%E -2.97%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 13:04
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 13:15
Bet Victor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 12:53
LeoVegas5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.49%EV -9.52%E -6.18%K -17.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-20 00:30
Sky Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -10.10%E -6.60%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 13:00
PMU (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 16.97%EV -11.18%E -2.15%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.84%EV -11.87%E -7.91%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-20 00:30
NetBet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 16.78%EV -11.18%E -2.15%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.97%EV -13.04%E -8.81%K -27.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-23 01:38
Betsson5.15I 19.42%NM 17.94%EV -12.04%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -5.99%E -3.74%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 09:50
NordicBet5.15I 19.42%NM 17.94%EV -12.04%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -5.99%E -3.74%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 09:50
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.18%EV -7.17%E -4.54%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 12:49
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -8.93%E -5.76%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 01:10
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -8.93%E -5.76%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -8.93%E -5.76%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 01:10
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.10%E -6.60%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-20 06:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -11.87%E -7.91%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -17.84%E -5.25%K -7.43%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-22 13:00
Betclic (FR)4.95I 20.20%NM 17.99%EV -15.45%E -3.12%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.82%EV -9.52%E -6.18%K -17.62%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.20%EV -11.07%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 13:05
Unibet (FR)4.95I 20.20%NM 17.88%EV -15.45%E -3.12%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.86%EV -10.10%E -6.60%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.25%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -19.72%E -4.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.39%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 01:34
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.19%EV -23.14%E -5.14%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 56.82%EV -10.69%E -7.03%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 01:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%3.3%2026-04-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%3.3%2026-04-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%3.3%2026-04-23 13:49
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%3.3%2026-04-23 13:55
Smarkets5.90I 16.95%NM 16.20%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%4.7%2026-04-23 19:14