La escuela de los momios

Reggiana v Palermo

Inicio: 2026-04-25 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Reggiana (Local)

Predicción 17.08%5.85momio equitativo
EV +0.771%
Ventaja +0.131%
Kelly +0.157%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.70%17.06%17.08%19.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.345.405.9022.22%18.74%18.52%16.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Palermo (Visitante)

Predicción 58.76%1.70momio equitativo
EV -4.23%
Ventaja -2.59%
Kelly -6.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.82%58.77%58.74%60.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.561.561.6367.57%64.01%64.10%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.17%4.14momio equitativo
EV -3.34%
Ventaja -0.835%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.56%24.17%24.18%25.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.773.804.0029.41%26.50%26.32%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
FanDuel5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV +0.771%E +0.131%K +0.157%G +0.001%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -10.10%E -6.60%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 13:03
Pinnacle5.80I 17.24%NM 16.34%EV -0.937%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.61%EV -6.58%E -4.14%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.05%EV -4.79%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 12:49
Tipico (DE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -0.937%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 19:14
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -1.79%E -0.311%K -0.377%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -5.99%E -3.74%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.34%E -0.835%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 16:05
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -6.58%E -4.14%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.34%E -0.835%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 13:15
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -6.58%E -4.14%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 13:04
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -6.58%E -4.14%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 09:45
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 01:10
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:04
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:04
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.03%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 12:55
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.03%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 23:04
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 14:45
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -8.93%E -5.76%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 14:43
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -10.10%E -6.60%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 13:15
Marathon Bet5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -6.91%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.66%EV -6.58%E -4.14%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -6.96%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 15:14
Codere (IT)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.33%EV -4.23%E -2.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 10:39
LowVig.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:04
BetOnline.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:04
Unibet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Grosvenor5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
TABtouch5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
BetRivers5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Casumo5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
betPARX5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.65%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 00:30
1xBet5.36I 18.66%NM 17.48%EV -8.45%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.19%EV -5.40%E -3.36%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.96%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 15:14
LiveScore Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -9.48%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.47%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-20 00:30
Virgin Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -9.48%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.47%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -4.82%E -2.97%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 13:04
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 13:15
Bet Victor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 12:53
LeoVegas5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.49%EV -9.52%E -6.18%K -17.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-20 00:30
Sky Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -10.10%E -6.60%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 13:00
PMU (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 16.97%EV -11.18%E -2.15%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.84%EV -11.87%E -7.91%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-20 00:30
NetBet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 16.78%EV -11.18%E -2.15%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.97%EV -13.04%E -8.81%K -27.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-23 01:38
Betsson5.15I 19.42%NM 17.94%EV -12.04%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -5.99%E -3.74%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 09:50
NordicBet5.15I 19.42%NM 17.94%EV -12.04%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -5.99%E -3.74%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 09:50
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.18%EV -7.17%E -4.54%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 12:49
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -8.93%E -5.76%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 01:10
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -8.93%E -5.76%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -8.93%E -5.76%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 01:10
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.10%E -6.60%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-20 06:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -11.87%E -7.91%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -17.84%E -5.25%K -7.43%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-22 13:00
Betclic (FR)4.95I 20.20%NM 17.99%EV -15.45%E -3.12%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.82%EV -9.52%E -6.18%K -17.62%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.20%EV -11.07%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 13:05
Unibet (FR)4.95I 20.20%NM 17.88%EV -15.45%E -3.12%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.86%EV -10.10%E -6.60%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.25%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -19.72%E -4.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.39%EV -8.34%E -5.35%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 01:34
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.19%EV -23.14%E -5.14%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 56.82%EV -10.69%E -7.03%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 01:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%3.3%2026-04-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%3.3%2026-04-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%3.3%2026-04-23 13:49
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%3.3%2026-04-23 13:55
Smarkets5.90I 16.95%NM 16.20%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%4.7%2026-04-23 19:14