Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.78
assuming max odds 5.58
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pisa (Local): 53.55%; Virtus Entella (Visit): 18.58%; Draw: 27.87%. For Virtus Entella (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.38. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.70%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.12%EV -7.89%E -4.59%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 16.99%EV +3.70%E +0.663%K +0.807%G +0.030% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.62%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +2.21%E +0.402%K +0.491%G +0.011% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 09:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.76%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV +2.21%E +0.402%K +0.491%G +0.011% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.07%EV -7.36%E -4.25%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -1.51%E -0.284%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -13.61%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.83%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -2.44%E -0.464%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 01:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.60%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -2.44%E -0.464%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -5.81%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.37%EV -4.68%E -2.63%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -3.36%E -0.647%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 10:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.94%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -3.36%E -0.647%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.14%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -3.36%E -0.647%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.14%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -3.36%E -0.647%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.14%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -3.36%E -0.647%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.18%EV -10.57%E -6.33%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.36%E -0.647%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.20%EV -7.36%E -4.25%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.07%EV -3.55%E -0.684%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.74%EV -5.81%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 12:36 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.63%EV -4.68%E -2.63%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -2.47%E -0.705%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 00:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -4.68%E -2.63%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 10:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 20:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 20:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 20:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 20:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.33%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 09:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -8.97%E -5.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.52%EV -7.36%E -4.25%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.31%EV -13.61%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 09:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -8.97%E -5.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -16.40%E -5.47%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 09:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.95%EV -7.89%E -4.59%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -8.94%E -1.82%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 10:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.95%EV -7.89%E -4.59%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -8.94%E -1.82%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 10:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.14%EV -8.97%E -5.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.63%EV -9.87%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.80%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 09:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.80%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 09:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.80%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 09:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.80%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 09:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.97%E -5.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -10.80%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.97%E -5.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -10.80%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 12:33 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.85%EV -9.50%E -5.62%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -10.80%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.54%EV -12.78%E -4.08%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 10:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.61%EV -12.71%E -7.80%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.20%EV -10.80%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -13.61%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-09 12:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.25%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -11.73%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 00:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -8.97%E -5.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -11.73%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 20:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.38%EV -10.57%E -6.33%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -11.73%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 16:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -8.97%E -5.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -12.66%E -2.69%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 10:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -10.57%E -6.33%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.93%EV -12.66%E -2.69%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.04%EV -10.57%E -6.33%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -12.66%E -2.69%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.22%E -3.88%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.04%EV -10.57%E -6.33%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -12.66%E -2.69%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.22%E -3.88%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 20:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -14.51%E -3.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 00:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -14.51%E -3.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 00:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.62%EV -7.36%E -4.25%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.51%E -3.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-08 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.97%E -5.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -14.51%E -3.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 09:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.97%E -5.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -14.51%E -3.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 09:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.97%E -5.27%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -14.51%E -3.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 09:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.68%EV -10.04%E -5.97%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -16.37%E -3.64%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 10:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.03%EV -13.78%E -8.56%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -16.37%E -3.64%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.99%EV -15.01%E -4.92%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-09-08 20:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.10%EV -10.57%E -6.33%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -21.95%E -5.23%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-09 10:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.53% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.33% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.53% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.33% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.58% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.24% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.06% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.70% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.16% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.94% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |