Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pisa v Virtus Entella

Início: 2026-09-11 19:00 UTC

Final: Pisa 1–4 Virtus Entella

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pisa (Local)

Previsão 53.55%1.87odd justa
EV -4.68%
Vantagem -2.63%
Kelly -6.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.10%53.62%53.48%55.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.611.721.721.7862.11%58.16%58.14%56.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Virtus Entella (Visitante)

Previsão 18.58%5.38odd justa
EV +3.70%
Vantagem +0.663%
Kelly +0.807%
Crescimento +0.030%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.99%18.52%18.57%20.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.925.005.5823.81%20.31%20.00%17.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.87%3.59odd justa
EV -2.47%
Vantagem -0.705%
Kelly -0.987%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.83%27.85%27.95%29.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.283.303.5033.33%30.53%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Pisa (Local): 53.55%; Virtus Entella (Visitante): 18.58%; Empate: 27.87%. Para Virtus Entella (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.38. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.58, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.70%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.12%EV -7.89%E -4.59%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 16.99%EV +3.70%E +0.663%K +0.807%G +0.030%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.62%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +2.21%E +0.402%K +0.491%G +0.011%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 09:54
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.76%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV +2.21%E +0.402%K +0.491%G +0.011%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 09:59
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.07%EV -7.36%E -4.25%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -1.51%E -0.284%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -13.61%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 09:59
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.83%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -2.44%E -0.464%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 01:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.60%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -2.44%E -0.464%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -5.81%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 12:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.37%EV -4.68%E -2.63%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -3.36%E -0.647%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 10:54
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.94%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -3.36%E -0.647%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.14%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -3.36%E -0.647%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 10:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.14%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -3.36%E -0.647%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 10:04
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.14%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -3.36%E -0.647%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 10:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.18%EV -10.57%E -6.33%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.36%E -0.647%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 11:50
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.20%EV -7.36%E -4.25%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.07%EV -3.55%E -0.684%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.74%EV -5.81%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 12:36
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.63%EV -4.68%E -2.63%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -2.47%E -0.705%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 00:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -4.68%E -2.63%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 10:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 20:24
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 20:24
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 20:25
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 20:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 20:24
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 20:35
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 20:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 20:25
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.33%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 09:49
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 13:40
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -8.97%E -5.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 09:05
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.52%EV -7.36%E -4.25%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.31%EV -13.61%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 09:55
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -8.97%E -5.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -7.08%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -16.40%E -5.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 09:55
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.95%EV -7.89%E -4.59%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -8.94%E -1.82%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 10:54
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.95%EV -7.89%E -4.59%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -8.94%E -1.82%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 10:54
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.14%EV -8.97%E -5.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.63%EV -9.87%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 10:04
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.80%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 09:49
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.80%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 09:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.80%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 09:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.80%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 09:50
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.97%E -5.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -10.80%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 12:35
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.97%E -5.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -10.80%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 12:33
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.85%EV -9.50%E -5.62%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -10.80%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.54%EV -12.78%E -4.08%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-09 10:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.61%EV -12.71%E -7.80%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.20%EV -10.80%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -13.61%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-09 12:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.25%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -11.73%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 00:04
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -8.97%E -5.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -11.73%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 20:24
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.38%EV -10.57%E -6.33%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -11.73%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 16:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -8.97%E -5.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -12.66%E -2.69%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -10.57%E -6.33%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.93%EV -12.66%E -2.69%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-08 20:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.04%EV -10.57%E -6.33%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -12.66%E -2.69%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.22%E -3.88%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 20:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.04%EV -10.57%E -6.33%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -12.66%E -2.69%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.22%E -3.88%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 20:24
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -14.51%E -3.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 00:04
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -14.51%E -3.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-09 00:04
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.62%EV -7.36%E -4.25%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.51%E -3.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.97%E -5.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -14.51%E -3.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 09:49
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.97%E -5.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -14.51%E -3.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 09:49
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.97%E -5.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -14.51%E -3.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 09:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.68%EV -10.04%E -5.97%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -16.37%E -3.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 10:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 53.03%EV -13.78%E -8.56%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -16.37%E -3.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.99%EV -15.01%E -4.92%K -7.32%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-08 20:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.10%EV -10.57%E -6.33%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -21.95%E -5.23%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-09 10:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.53%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.33%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.53%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.33%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-09-09 15:20
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 55.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.39%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%3.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 55.24%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.70%4.6%2026-09-09 17:35
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 55.16%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.94%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%5.4%2026-09-09 17:40