Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.90
assuming max odds 4.56
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pisa (Local): 50.68%; US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit): 21.89%; Draw: 27.43%. For US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.56, with an expected value of -0.178%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -3.71%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 18:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.37%EV -4.22%E -2.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -3.68%E -0.836%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.54%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.02%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.45%EV -8.38%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -4.77%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -1.49%E -0.331%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 10:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.31%EV -5.74%E -3.08%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-26 08:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.09%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.13%EV -0.178%E -0.039%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.77%EV -1.25%E -0.348%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-26 08:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-26 08:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-26 08:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-26 08:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-26 08:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-26 08:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-26 08:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-26 08:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -13.53%E -3.43%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -7.26%E -3.97%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.26%E -3.97%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.26%E -3.97%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.26%E -3.97%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.26%E -3.97%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.26%E -3.97%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.26%E -3.97%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.26%E -3.97%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -7.76%E -4.27%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.68%E -0.836%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -7.76%E -4.27%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.68%E -0.836%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -7.76%E -4.27%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.68%E -0.836%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.11%EV -7.76%E -4.27%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 17:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -7.76%E -4.27%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -7.76%E -4.27%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -14.63%E -3.75%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.61%EV -8.27%E -4.57%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -3.68%E -0.836%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.16%EV -5.64%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -8.78%E -4.88%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.68%E -0.836%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 18:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.78%E -4.88%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-30 18:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.78%E -4.88%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-30 18:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.78%E -4.88%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.88%EV -9.15%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.68%EV -10.03%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 18:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.96%EV -8.78%E -4.88%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-26 08:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.78%E -4.88%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.78%E -4.88%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.78%E -4.88%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.78%E -4.88%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -9.28%E -5.19%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.02%EV -9.79%E -5.50%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.26%EV -13.60%E -4.32%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-26 08:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.89%EV -10.30%E -5.82%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -13.60%E -4.32%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-26 08:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.89%EV -10.30%E -5.82%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -13.60%E -4.32%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-26 08:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -1.49%E -0.331%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 18:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.73%EV -12.32%E -7.12%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -13.60%E -4.32%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-30 18:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.54%EV -12.83%E -7.46%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -14.63%E -3.75%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 50.02%EV -13.34%E -7.80%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.93%EV -14.63%E -3.75%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.05%EV -16.34%E -5.36%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-26 08:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.82% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.28% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |