Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pisa v US Catanzaro 1929

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 19:03 UTC

Score final : Pisa 2–1 US Catanzaro 1929

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pisa (Local)

Prévision 50.68%1.97cote équitable
EV -3.71%
Avantage -1.95%
Kelly -4.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.55%50.74%50.65%52.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.711.821.821.9058.48%55.02%54.95%52.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

US Catanzaro 1929 (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.89%4.57cote équitable
EV -0.178%
Avantage -0.039%
Kelly -0.050%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.43%21.85%21.94%23.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.204.204.5625.64%23.82%23.81%21.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.43%3.65cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.348%
Kelly -0.482%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.70%27.41%27.41%28.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.333.353.6032.79%30.04%29.85%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Pisa (Local) : 50.68% ; US Catanzaro 1929 (Visiteur) : 21.89% ; Match nul : 27.43%. Pour US Catanzaro 1929 (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.57. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.56, pour une espérance de -0.178% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -3.71%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 18:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.37%EV -4.22%E -2.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -3.68%E -0.836%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:25
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.54%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.02%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.299%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.45%EV -8.38%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -4.77%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 17:20
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -1.49%E -0.331%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 10:24
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 18:55
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.31%EV -5.74%E -3.08%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-26 08:19
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.09%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.13%EV -0.178%E -0.039%K -0.050%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.77%EV -1.25%E -0.348%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 08:19
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 08:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 08:19
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 08:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 08:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 08:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 08:19
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 08:19
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 18:45
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -13.53%E -3.43%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 18:55
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -7.26%E -3.97%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 18:50
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.26%E -3.97%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:30
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.26%E -3.97%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 18:35
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.26%E -3.97%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.26%E -3.97%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.26%E -3.97%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 18:35
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.26%E -3.97%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.26%E -3.97%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -7.76%E -4.27%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.68%E -0.836%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -7.76%E -4.27%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.68%E -0.836%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 18:50
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -7.76%E -4.27%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.68%E -0.836%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.11%EV -7.76%E -4.27%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 17:19
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -7.76%E -4.27%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -7.76%E -4.27%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -14.63%E -3.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.61%EV -8.27%E -4.57%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -3.68%E -0.836%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.16%EV -5.64%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:35
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -8.78%E -4.88%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.68%E -0.836%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 18:48
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.78%E -4.88%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 18:49
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.78%E -4.88%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 18:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.78%E -4.88%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.88%EV -9.15%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.68%EV -10.03%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 18:34
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.96%EV -8.78%E -4.88%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-26 08:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.78%E -4.88%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 17:20
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.78%E -4.88%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 18:50
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.78%E -4.88%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.78%E -4.88%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 18:45
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -9.28%E -5.19%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -5.87%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.02%EV -9.79%E -5.50%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.26%EV -13.60%E -4.32%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-26 08:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.89%EV -10.30%E -5.82%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -13.60%E -4.32%K -6.32%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-26 08:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.89%EV -10.30%E -5.82%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -13.60%E -4.32%K -6.32%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-26 08:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -1.49%E -0.331%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 18:50
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 18:34
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.73%EV -12.32%E -7.12%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -13.60%E -4.32%K -6.32%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 18:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.54%EV -12.83%E -7.46%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -14.63%E -3.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-30 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 50.02%EV -13.34%E -7.80%K -18.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.93%EV -14.63%E -3.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.05%EV -16.34%E -5.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-26 08:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.82%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-08-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-08-30 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-08-30 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-08-30 18:55
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19%2.1%2026-08-30 18:55