Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pisa v Padova

2026-08-23 17:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pisa (Local)

Prediction 55.01%1.82fair odd
EV -4.83%
Edge -2.79%
Kelly -6.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.90%55.01%54.99%55.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.641.621.7367.57%61.02%61.73%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Padova (Visit)

Prediction 18.20%5.50fair odd
EV +0.083%
Edge +0.015%
Kelly +0.018%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.16%18.23%18.19%19.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.955.005.5022.22%20.21%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.79%3.73fair odd
EV +0.477%
Edge +0.127%
Kelly +0.173%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%26.76%26.82%27.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.373.403.7532.79%29.71%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pisa (Local): 55.01%; Padova (Visit): 18.20%; Draw: 26.79%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.75, producing a positive expected value of +0.477%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.33%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.14%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV +0.477%E +0.127%K +0.173%G +0.001%4.5%2026-08-04 16:49
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.86%EV -7.03%E -4.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV +0.083%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 16:49
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 16:49
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.87%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -8.11%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 16:50
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 54.95%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -5.38%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 16:50
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 54.94%EV -7.58%E -4.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -6.29%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 16:50
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.94%EV -7.58%E -4.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -6.29%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 16:50
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:49
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:49
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:49
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:49
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:49
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:50
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:50
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:50
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:50
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:49
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:50
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 18:25
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -13.56%E -2.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-04 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.78%EV -11.99%E -7.49%K -19.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.05%EV -16.29%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-04 16:50
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 16:50
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 16:49
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -9.23%E -5.60%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-04 16:49
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.04%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.03%EV -16.29%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-04 16:49
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 54.43%EV -13.09%E -8.28%K -22.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.11%EV -18.11%E -4.03%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-04 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 54.48%EV -14.19%E -9.09%K -25.33%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.28%EV -15.38%E -3.31%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 27.24%EV -16.40%E -5.26%K -7.74%G +0.000%17.7%2026-08-04 16:49
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.33%EV -13.64%E -8.68%K -23.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.15%EV -14.47%E -3.08%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -16.94%E -5.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-04 16:49
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 55.12%EV -18.59%E -12.56%K -38.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.13%EV -18.11%E -4.03%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 26.75%EV -18.28%E -5.99%K -8.92%G +0.000%22.6%2026-08-04 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.