Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pisa v Padova

2026-08-23 17:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Frente a frente

32 casas de apostas (8 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pisa (Local)

Previsão 55.01%1.82odd justa
EV -4.83%
Vantagem -2.79%
Kelly -6.62%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.90%55.01%54.99%55.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.481.641.621.7367.57%61.02%61.73%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Padova (Visitante)

Previsão 18.20%5.50odd justa
EV +0.083%
Vantagem +0.015%
Kelly +0.018%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.16%18.23%18.19%19.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.504.955.005.5022.22%20.21%20.00%18.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.79%3.73odd justa
EV +0.477%
Vantagem +0.127%
Kelly +0.173%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.53%26.76%26.82%27.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.373.403.7532.79%29.71%29.41%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Pisa (Local): 55.01%; Padova (Visitante): 18.20%; Empate: 26.79%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.73. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.75, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.477%.

Odds das casas de apostas (32 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.33%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.14%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV +0.477%E +0.127%K +0.173%G +0.001%4.5%2026-08-04 16:49
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.86%EV -7.03%E -4.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV +0.083%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 16:49
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 16:49
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.87%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -8.11%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 16:50
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 54.95%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -5.38%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 16:50
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 54.94%EV -7.58%E -4.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -6.29%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 16:50
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.94%EV -7.58%E -4.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -6.29%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 16:50
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:49
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:49
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:49
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:49
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:49
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:50
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:50
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:50
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:50
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:49
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 16:50
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 18:25
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -13.56%E -2.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-04 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.78%EV -11.99%E -7.49%K -19.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.05%EV -16.29%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-04 16:50
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 16:50
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 16:49
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -9.23%E -5.60%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-04 16:49
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.04%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.03%EV -16.29%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-04 16:49
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 54.43%EV -13.09%E -8.28%K -22.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.11%EV -18.11%E -4.03%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-04 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 54.48%EV -14.19%E -9.09%K -25.33%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.28%EV -15.38%E -3.31%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 27.24%EV -16.40%E -5.26%K -7.74%G +0.000%17.7%2026-08-04 16:49
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.33%EV -13.64%E -8.68%K -23.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.15%EV -14.47%E -3.08%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -16.94%E -5.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-04 16:49
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 55.12%EV -18.59%E -12.56%K -38.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.13%EV -18.11%E -4.03%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 26.75%EV -18.28%E -5.99%K -8.92%G +0.000%22.6%2026-08-04 16:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.