Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pisa v Padova

Início: 2026-08-23 17:00 UTC

Final: Pisa 0–1 Padova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pisa (Local)

Previsão 52.78%1.89odd justa
EV -4.47%
Vantagem -2.47%
Kelly -5.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.08%52.80%52.80%54.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.751.751.8160.61%57.15%57.14%55.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Padova (Visitante)

Previsão 19.99%5.00odd justa
EV +1.56%
Vantagem +0.308%
Kelly +0.383%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.78%19.99%19.96%21.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.104.544.505.0824.39%22.01%22.22%19.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.23%3.67odd justa
EV -1.99%
Vantagem -0.552%
Kelly -0.765%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.15%27.22%27.24%28.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.363.403.6032.26%29.73%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Pisa (Local): 52.78%; Padova (Visitante): 19.99%; Empate: 27.23%. Para Padova (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.00. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.08, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.56%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.04%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.90%EV +1.56%E +0.308%K +0.383%G +0.006%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.07%EV -6.89%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 16:49
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -2.04%E -0.415%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -2.04%E -0.415%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 16:39
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.60%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.68%EV -3.63%E -0.754%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -4.03%E -0.841%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 16:44
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.72%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.77%EV -4.03%E -0.841%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 16:35
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 16:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 16:45
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 16:34
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 16:20
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 16:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 16:19
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.10%E -4.04%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -6.03%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -6.03%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 16:49
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -6.03%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 16:49
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.03%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 16:43
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.08%EV -7.03%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.15%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 16:53
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 16:04
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 16:45
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.88%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 16:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -9.22%E -5.36%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.99%EV -9.03%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 16:44
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.99%E -0.552%K -0.765%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 16:44
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:09
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:09
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:09
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:09
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 16:34
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -9.74%E -5.70%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 16:35
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 16:44
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 16:34
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 16:34
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.95%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.88%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.23%EV -12.91%E -7.82%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.74%EV -11.03%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.03%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-23 16:44
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.03%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 16:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -9.22%E -5.36%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -12.03%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 16:44
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -12.03%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 16:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.66%EV -12.91%E -7.82%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.75%EV -12.03%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -14.24%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-23 16:33
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -13.43%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 16:04
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -13.43%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -13.43%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 16:04
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.20%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -13.43%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 16:24
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -13.43%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -15.60%E -5.03%K -7.43%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-23 16:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -9.22%E -5.36%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -14.03%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 16:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.55%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -14.03%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.67%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 16:45
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.63%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.14%EV -15.03%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.71%EV -9.22%E -5.36%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -15.03%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-23 16:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.73%EV -9.74%E -5.70%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.06%EV -16.03%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 16:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.73%EV -9.74%E -5.70%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.06%EV -16.03%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 16:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 51.76%EV -12.38%E -7.46%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.96%EV -18.03%E -4.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.28%EV -14.24%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-23 16:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-08-23 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-08-23 16:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-08-23 16:49
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-08-23 16:55
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.74%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%1.9%2026-08-23 16:55