Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pisa v Padova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 17:00 UTC

Score final : Pisa 0–1 Padova

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pisa (Local)

Prévision 52.78%1.89cote équitable
EV -4.47%
Avantage -2.47%
Kelly -5.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.08%52.80%52.80%54.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.751.751.8160.61%57.15%57.14%55.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Padova (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.99%5.00cote équitable
EV +1.56%
Avantage +0.308%
Kelly +0.383%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 5.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.78%19.99%19.96%21.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.544.505.0824.39%22.01%22.22%19.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.23%3.67cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -0.552%
Kelly -0.765%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.15%27.22%27.24%28.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.363.403.6032.26%29.73%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Pisa (Local) : 52.78% ; Padova (Visiteur) : 19.99% ; Match nul : 27.23%. Pour Padova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.00. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.08, soit une espérance positive de +1.56%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.04%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.90%EV +1.56%E +0.308%K +0.383%G +0.006%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.07%EV -6.89%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 16:49
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -2.04%E -0.415%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -2.04%E -0.415%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 16:39
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.60%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.68%EV -3.63%E -0.754%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -4.03%E -0.841%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 16:44
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.72%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.77%EV -4.03%E -0.841%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 16:35
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 16:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 16:45
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 16:34
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 16:20
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 16:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 16:19
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.10%E -4.04%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -6.03%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -6.03%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 16:49
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -6.03%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 16:49
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.03%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 16:43
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.08%EV -7.03%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.15%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 16:53
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 16:04
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 16:45
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.88%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 16:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -9.22%E -5.36%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.99%EV -9.03%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 16:44
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.99%E -0.552%K -0.765%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 16:44
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:09
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:09
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:09
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:09
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 16:34
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -9.74%E -5.70%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 16:35
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 16:44
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 16:34
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 16:34
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.95%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.88%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.23%EV -12.91%E -7.82%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.74%EV -11.03%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.03%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-23 16:44
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.03%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 16:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -9.22%E -5.36%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -12.03%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 16:44
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -12.03%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 16:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.66%EV -12.91%E -7.82%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.75%EV -12.03%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -14.24%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-23 16:33
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -13.43%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 16:04
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -13.43%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -13.43%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 16:04
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.20%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -13.43%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 16:24
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -13.43%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -15.60%E -5.03%K -7.43%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-23 16:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -9.22%E -5.36%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -14.03%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 16:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.55%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -14.03%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.67%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 16:45
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.63%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.14%EV -15.03%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.71%EV -9.22%E -5.36%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -15.03%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-23 16:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.73%EV -9.74%E -5.70%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.06%EV -16.03%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 16:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.73%EV -9.74%E -5.70%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.06%EV -16.03%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 16:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 51.76%EV -12.38%E -7.46%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.96%EV -18.03%E -4.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.28%EV -14.24%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-23 16:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-08-23 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-08-23 16:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-08-23 16:49
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-08-23 16:55
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.74%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%1.9%2026-08-23 16:55