Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.07
assuming max odds 4.02
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pescara (Local): 46.80%; Virtus Entella (Visit): 25.78%; Draw: 27.41%. For Virtus Entella (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.65%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.53%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.66%EV +3.65%E +0.909%K +1.21%G +0.044% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.81%EV -6.25%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV +0.559%E +0.143%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-18 18:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%EV -4.52%E -2.22%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.93%EV +0.044%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-18 18:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.02%E -0.531%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -9.67%E -5.01%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -2.02%E -0.531%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-18 18:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.64%EV -4.52%E -2.22%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -11.07%E -5.83%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-18 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.34%EV -7.80%E -3.96%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -5.70%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-18 18:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.93%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-18 18:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.99%E -2.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -1.32%E -0.366%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-18 18:58 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-18 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-18 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-18 18:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -15.02%E -4.85%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -12.01%E -6.39%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -8.47%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-18 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -9.67%E -5.01%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-18 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.75%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.73%EV -11.73%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-18 18:58 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -13.41%E -7.25%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-18 18:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -15.75%E -8.75%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -15.02%E -4.85%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-18 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -13.88%E -7.54%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-18 18:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-18 18:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-18 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-18 18:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 47.30%EV -17.63%E -10.01%K -23.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.48%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.22%EV -19.13%E -6.49%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -14.91%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-18 18:53 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -3.58%E -1.74%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -17.49%E -5.47%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -17.49%E -5.47%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -17.49%E -5.47%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04% | 0.4% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.31% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88% | 2.5% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |