La escuela de los momios

Pescara v Virtus Entella

Inicio: 2026-03-18 19:04 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pescara (Local)

Predicción 46.80%2.14momio equitativo
EV -3.12%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -2.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.21%46.75%46.85%48.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.761.982.002.0756.82%50.42%50.00%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Virtus Entella (Visitante)

Predicción 25.78%3.88momio equitativo
EV +3.65%
Ventaja +0.909%
Kelly +1.21%
Crecimiento +0.044%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.66%25.84%25.66%28.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.483.454.0231.25%28.71%28.99%24.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.41%3.65momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.366%
Kelly -0.506%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.46%27.40%27.49%28.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.333.353.6033.90%30.06%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.53%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.66%EV +3.65%E +0.909%K +1.21%G +0.044%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.81%EV -6.25%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 18:59
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV +0.559%E +0.143%K +0.193%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 18:59
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%EV -4.52%E -2.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.93%EV +0.044%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 18:59
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.02%E -0.531%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -9.67%E -5.01%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -2.02%E -0.531%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 18:58
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.64%EV -4.52%E -2.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 19:00
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -11.07%E -5.83%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-18 19:00
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 19:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-18 19:00
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 19:00
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 18:59
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.34%EV -7.80%E -3.96%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -5.70%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 18:59
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 46.93%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-18 18:58
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.99%E -2.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -1.32%E -0.366%K -0.506%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 18:58
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 19:00
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 19:00
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 18:59
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 18:59
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 18:59
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -15.02%E -4.85%K -7.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-18 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -12.01%E -6.39%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -8.47%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 19:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 19:00
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-18 18:59
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -9.67%E -5.01%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 18:59
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.75%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.73%EV -11.73%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-18 18:58
Parions Sport (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -13.41%E -7.25%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-18 18:59
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -15.75%E -8.75%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -15.02%E -4.85%K -7.15%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-18 18:59
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -13.88%E -7.54%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-18 19:00
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 18:59
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 18:59
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 18:59
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 19:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 18:59
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 19:00
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-18 18:59
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-18 18:59
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-18 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-18 19:00
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 47.30%EV -17.63%E -10.01%K -23.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.48%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.22%EV -19.13%E -6.49%K -9.81%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-18 19:00
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -14.91%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-18 19:00
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 19:00
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 19:00
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 19:00
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 19:00
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 19:00
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 18:53
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 19:00
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 19:00
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -3.58%E -1.74%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 19:00
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -17.49%E -5.47%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-18 19:00
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -17.49%E -5.47%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-18 19:00
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -17.49%E -5.47%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 19:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%0.4%2026-03-18 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-03-18 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-03-18 19:00
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-03-18 19:00
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.31%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88%2.5%2026-03-18 19:00