L’École des cotes

Pescara v Virtus Entella

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-18 19:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pescara (Local)

Prévision 46.80%2.14cote équitable
EV -3.12%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -2.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.21%46.75%46.85%48.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.761.982.002.0756.82%50.42%50.00%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Virtus Entella (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.78%3.88cote équitable
EV +3.65%
Avantage +0.909%
Kelly +1.21%
Croissance +0.044%

avec la cote maximale 4.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.66%25.84%25.66%28.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.483.454.0231.25%28.71%28.99%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.41%3.65cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.366%
Kelly -0.506%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.46%27.40%27.49%28.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.333.353.6033.90%30.06%29.85%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.53%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.66%EV +3.65%E +0.909%K +1.21%G +0.044%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.81%EV -6.25%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 18:59
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV +0.559%E +0.143%K +0.193%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 18:59
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%EV -4.52%E -2.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.93%EV +0.044%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 18:59
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.02%E -0.531%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -9.67%E -5.01%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -2.02%E -0.531%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 18:58
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.64%EV -4.52%E -2.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 19:00
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -11.07%E -5.83%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-18 19:00
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 19:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-18 19:00
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 19:00
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 18:59
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.34%EV -7.80%E -3.96%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -5.70%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 18:59
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 46.93%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-18 18:58
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.99%E -2.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -1.32%E -0.366%K -0.506%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 18:58
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 19:00
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 19:00
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 18:59
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 18:59
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 18:59
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -15.02%E -4.85%K -7.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-18 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -12.01%E -6.39%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -8.47%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 19:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 19:00
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-18 18:59
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -9.67%E -5.01%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 18:59
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.75%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.73%EV -11.73%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-18 18:58
Parions Sport (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -13.41%E -7.25%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-18 18:59
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -15.75%E -8.75%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -15.02%E -4.85%K -7.15%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-18 18:59
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -13.88%E -7.54%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-18 19:00
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 18:59
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 18:59
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 18:59
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 19:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 18:59
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 19:00
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-18 18:59
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-18 18:59
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-18 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-18 19:00
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 47.30%EV -17.63%E -10.01%K -23.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.48%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.22%EV -19.13%E -6.49%K -9.81%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-18 19:00
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -14.91%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-18 19:00
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 19:00
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 19:00
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 19:00
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 19:00
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 19:00
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 18:53
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 19:00
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 19:00
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -3.58%E -1.74%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.20%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 19:00
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -17.49%E -5.47%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-18 19:00
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -17.49%E -5.47%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-18 19:00
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -17.49%E -5.47%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 19:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%0.4%2026-03-18 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-03-18 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-03-18 19:00
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-03-18 19:00
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.31%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88%2.5%2026-03-18 19:00