Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.30
assuming max odds 3.62
assuming max odds 3.34
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pescara (Local): 42.13%; Sampdoria (Visit): 28.82%; Draw: 29.05%. For Sampdoria (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.33%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.21%EV -3.52%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.70%EV +4.33%E +1.20%K +1.65%G +0.072% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.08%EV -9.67%E -3.11%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -0.567%E -0.164%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -14.31%E -4.85%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.18%EV -6.89%E -3.12%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -1.43%E -0.419%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -11.41%E -3.74%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.01%E -0.591%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -2.01%E -0.591%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -14.31%E -4.85%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.60%EV -5.62%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.48%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -4.15%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.15%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.11%EV -8.99%E -4.16%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.11%EV -8.99%E -4.16%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -18.67%E -6.67%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -18.67%E -6.67%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.64%EV -6.04%E -2.71%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.90%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -2.99%E -0.894%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -3.09%E -1.35%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.15%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -8.15%E -3.74%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -8.51%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -8.15%E -3.74%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -8.51%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -15.77%E -5.44%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -15.73%E -7.87%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-11 12:58 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.32%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -20.12%E -7.32%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -13.63%E -6.65%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -10.08%E -3.23%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.15%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.51%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.02%EV -14.89%E -7.37%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.49%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.49%EV -11.41%E -3.74%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -6.04%E -2.71%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -6.04%E -2.71%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -6.04%E -2.71%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -14.98%E -5.08%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -8.51%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -14.98%E -5.08%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -14.98%E -5.08%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -16.42%E -5.66%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -11.41%E -3.74%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -17.00%E -5.90%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -16.35%E -5.68%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.42% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49% | 2.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |