La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Pescara v Sampdoria
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pescara (Local)
Predicción 42.13%2.37momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -2.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.34%42.13%42.24%43.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.192.202.3050.00%45.72%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sampdoria (Visitante)
Predicción 28.82%3.47momio equitativo
EV +4.33%
Ventaja +1.20%
Kelly +1.65%
Crecimiento +0.072%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.67%28.66%28.77%30.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.153.123.6234.72%31.70%32.05%27.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.05%3.44momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -0.894%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.05%29.22%28.99%31.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.133.153.3436.36%32.00%31.75%29.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.21%EV -3.52%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.70%EV +4.33%E +1.20%K +1.65%G +0.072% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.08%EV -9.67%E -3.11%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -0.567%E -0.164%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -14.31%E -4.85%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.18%EV -6.89%E -3.12%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -1.43%E -0.419%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -11.41%E -3.74%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.01%E -0.591%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -2.01%E -0.591%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -14.31%E -4.85%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.60%EV -5.62%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.48%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -4.15%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.15%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.11%EV -8.99%E -4.16%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.11%EV -8.99%E -4.16%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -18.67%E -6.67%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -18.67%E -6.67%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.64%EV -6.04%E -2.71%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.90%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -2.99%E -0.894%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -3.09%E -1.35%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.15%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -8.15%E -3.74%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -8.51%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -8.15%E -3.74%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -8.51%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -15.77%E -5.44%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -15.73%E -7.87%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-11 12:58 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.32%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -20.12%E -7.32%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -13.63%E -6.65%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -10.08%E -3.23%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.15%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.51%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.02%EV -14.89%E -7.37%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.49%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.49%EV -11.41%E -3.74%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -6.04%E -2.71%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -6.04%E -2.71%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -6.04%E -2.71%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -14.98%E -5.08%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -8.51%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -14.98%E -5.08%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -14.98%E -5.08%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -16.42%E -5.66%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -11.41%E -3.74%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -17.00%E -5.90%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -16.35%E -5.68%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.42% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49% | 2.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |