Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pescara v Sampdoria

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 13:04 UTC

Score final : Pescara 1–2 Sampdoria

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pescara (Local)

Prévision 42.13%2.37cote équitable
EV -3.09%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -2.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.34%42.13%42.24%43.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.192.202.3050.00%45.72%45.45%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sampdoria (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.82%3.47cote équitable
EV +4.33%
Avantage +1.20%
Kelly +1.65%
Croissance +0.072%

avec la cote maximale 3.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.67%28.66%28.77%30.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.153.123.6234.72%31.70%32.05%27.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.05%3.44cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -0.894%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.05%29.22%28.99%31.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.133.153.3436.36%32.00%31.75%29.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Pescara (Local) : 42.13% ; Sampdoria (Visiteur) : 28.82% ; Match nul : 29.05%. Pour Sampdoria (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.47. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.62, soit une espérance positive de +4.33%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.21%EV -3.52%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.70%EV +4.33%E +1.20%K +1.65%G +0.072%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.08%EV -9.67%E -3.11%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 13:00
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -0.567%E -0.164%K -0.232%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -14.31%E -4.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.18%EV -6.89%E -3.12%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -1.43%E -0.419%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -11.41%E -3.74%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.01%E -0.591%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 12:59
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -2.01%E -0.591%K -0.837%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -14.31%E -4.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 12:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.60%EV -5.62%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.48%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -4.15%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 13:00
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.15%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.11%EV -8.99%E -4.16%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.11%EV -8.99%E -4.16%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 12:59
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -18.67%E -6.67%K -10.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 13:00
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -18.67%E -6.67%K -10.37%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-11 13:00
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.64%EV -6.04%E -2.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.90%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -2.99%E -0.894%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 12:59
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:01
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -3.09%E -1.35%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.15%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 12:59
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:00
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:00
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -8.15%E -3.74%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -8.51%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -8.15%E -3.74%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -8.51%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 12:59
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 12:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 12:59
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -15.77%E -5.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:00
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -15.73%E -7.87%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-11 12:58
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.32%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -20.12%E -7.32%K -11.50%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-11 13:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -13.63%E -6.65%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 12:59
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -10.08%E -3.23%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 12:59
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.15%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 13:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 12:59
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 13:00
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 13:00
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 12:59
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.51%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 12:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.02%EV -14.89%E -7.37%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.49%EV -12.10%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.49%EV -11.41%E -3.74%K -5.57%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-11 12:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -6.04%E -2.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -6.04%E -2.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -6.04%E -2.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 13:00
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -14.98%E -5.08%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -8.51%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -14.98%E -5.08%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-11 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -14.98%E -5.08%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 13:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -16.42%E -5.66%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -11.41%E -3.74%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -17.00%E -5.90%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -16.35%E -5.68%K -8.70%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-11 13:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-04-11 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-04-11 13:01
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-04-11 13:01
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.42%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49%2.5%2026-04-11 13:00