赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Palermo v Padova

开赛时间： 2026-09-19 13:02 UTC

最终结果： Palermo 2–1 Padova

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Palermo (主队)

预测 60.00%1.67公平赔率
EV -3.40%
优势 -2.11%
Kelly -5.57%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.61

博彩公司预测分布
57.78%60.05%60.02%62.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.521.531.6171.43%65.68%65.36%62.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

Padova (客队)

预测 17.40%5.75公平赔率
EV +2.64%
优势 +0.448%
Kelly +0.539%
增长率 +0.014%

假设最高赔率为 5.90

博彩公司预测分布
15.73%17.36%17.38%19.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.355.455.9021.74%18.71%18.35%16.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.60%4.42公平赔率
EV -2.82%
优势 -0.655%
Kelly -0.854%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.30

博彩公司预测分布
21.58%22.58%22.60%23.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.704.054.004.3027.03%24.69%25.00%23.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Palermo (主队)：60.00%；Padova (客队)：17.40%；平局：22.60%。 对于“Padova (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.75。 当时有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.90，对应+2.64%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.69%EV -11.20%E -7.57%K -23.33%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV +2.64%E +0.448%K +0.539%G +0.014%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -2.82%E -0.655%K -0.854%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 14:04
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -10.00%E -6.66%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.902%E +0.156%K +0.188%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 08:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -10.00%E -6.66%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.902%E +0.156%K +0.188%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 08:30
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -10.00%E -6.66%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.902%E +0.156%K +0.188%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 08:30
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -10.00%E -6.66%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.902%E +0.156%K +0.188%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 08:30
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -10.00%E -6.66%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.902%E +0.156%K +0.188%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 08:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -10.00%E -6.66%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.902%E +0.156%K +0.188%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 08:30
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -10.00%E -6.66%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.902%E +0.156%K +0.188%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 08:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -10.00%E -6.66%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.902%E +0.156%K +0.188%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 08:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -10.00%E -6.66%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.902%E +0.156%K +0.188%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 08:35
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -7.00%E -4.51%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV +0.032%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -2.82%E -0.655%K -0.854%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 14:05
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -10.00%E -6.66%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV +0.032%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 14:05
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.39%EV -10.00%E -6.66%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -0.838%E -0.147%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -7.34%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:05
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.51%EV -5.20%E -3.29%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.89%EV -1.53%E -0.271%K -0.329%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.60%EV -4.40%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.77%EV -3.45%E -0.621%K -0.758%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -6.21%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-17 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -4.32%E -0.785%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -2.82%E -0.655%K -0.854%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-17 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.32%E -0.785%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.34%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 15:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.32%E -0.785%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.34%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 15:29
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.32%E -0.785%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.34%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 15:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -4.32%E -0.785%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.60%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 14:05
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -4.32%E -0.785%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.60%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.00%E -6.66%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.32%E -0.785%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 14:09
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -9.40%E -6.22%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.32%E -0.785%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -7.34%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:05
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.00%E -6.66%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.32%E -0.785%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.60%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 14:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.33%EV -12.40%E -8.49%K -26.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -4.32%E -0.785%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -9.60%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 08:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.33%EV -12.40%E -8.49%K -26.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -4.32%E -0.785%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -9.60%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 08:30
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.50%EV -13.00%E -8.96%K -28.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -4.32%E -0.785%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -9.60%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-16 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -13.60%E -9.44%K -30.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -4.32%E -0.785%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -9.60%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-16 08:35
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.32%EV -7.00%E -4.51%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.15%EV -5.19%E -0.952%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.53%EV -6.21%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 17:58
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -6.06%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -7.34%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 14:48
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -4.60%E -2.89%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 13:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -9.60%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 08:15
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.34%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 14:25
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -7.00%E -4.51%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:25
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.60%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-17 17:55
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.60%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-17 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -10.00%E -6.66%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -9.60%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 14:04
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -10.00%E -6.66%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -11.86%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 14:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.34%EV -16.00%E -11.43%K -39.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.36%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.30%EV -12.99%E -3.37%K -4.56%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-16 08:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.07%EV -3.40%E -2.11%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.29%EV -9.54%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 08:20
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -7.00%E -4.51%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -11.28%E -2.21%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -10.73%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 08:15
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -7.00%E -4.51%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -11.28%E -2.21%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -10.73%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 08:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.54%EV -11.20%E -7.57%K -23.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.28%EV -11.28%E -2.21%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -14.12%E -3.72%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -13.02%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-17 09:26
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -7.00%E -4.51%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -13.02%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.86%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 13:05
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.00%E -4.51%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.02%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.99%E -3.37%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 13:05
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -13.02%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -11.86%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 13:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -13.02%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -11.86%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 13:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -13.02%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -11.86%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 13:05
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.00%E -6.66%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.02%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -9.60%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 18:00
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.00%E -4.51%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.49%E -3.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -14.12%E -3.72%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 14:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.00%E -4.51%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.49%E -3.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -14.12%E -3.72%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 14:24
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.00%E -4.51%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.49%E -3.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -14.12%E -3.72%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.23%EV -9.40%E -6.22%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.51%EV -17.36%E -3.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.26%EV -14.57%E -3.85%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-18 08:13
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.39%EV -7.60%E -4.93%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -18.23%E -3.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.60%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-18 08:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 58.53%EV -12.40%E -8.49%K -26.95%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.38%EV -19.10%E -4.11%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.09%EV -16.38%E -4.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-18 13:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.30%EV -8.80%E -5.79%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -19.97%E -4.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.43%EV -10.73%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 08:15
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.72%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42%1.7%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.72%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42%1.7%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.72%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42%1.7%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.72%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42%1.7%2026-09-18 15:15
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.72%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42%1.7%2026-09-18 15:15