Language:English
Palermo v Mantova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Palermo (Local)
Prediction 62.66%1.60fair odd
EV -5.39%
Edge -3.57%
Kelly -10.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.62%62.63%62.65%64.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.461.471.5175.76%68.26%68.03%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mantova (Visit)
Prediction 15.39%6.50fair odd
EV +3.40%
Edge +0.506%
Kelly +0.594%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 6.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.15%15.30%15.42%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.405.986.006.7218.52%16.73%16.67%14.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.96%4.55fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -0.772%
Kelly -0.999%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.42%22.07%21.93%23.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.144.204.4026.32%24.14%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Palermo (Local): 62.66%; Mantova (Visit): 15.39%; Draw: 21.96%. For Mantova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.50. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.75%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.72I 14.88%NM 14.32%EV +3.40%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.93%EV -3.62%E -0.824%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.63%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.63%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.31%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -10.40%E -7.27%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -9.15%E -6.31%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.73%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.32I 15.82%NM 14.99%EV -2.76%E -0.436%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -3.83%E -0.613%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -3.83%E -0.613%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 18:57 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -3.83%E -0.613%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.02%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.35%EV -4.60%E -0.742%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -6.64%E -4.46%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -6.91%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 18:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.70%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.49%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 18:51 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.36%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -9.15%E -6.31%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 18:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -12.28%E -8.77%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -9.22%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -9.22%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.53%EV -8.52%E -5.84%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -10.76%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.53%EV -8.52%E -5.84%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -10.76%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -9.15%E -6.31%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -10.76%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -10.40%E -7.27%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -10.76%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.53%E -2.00%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -11.53%E -2.00%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.91%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -11.53%E -2.00%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -15.47%E -4.02%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -11.53%E -2.00%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.37%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.87%EV -12.30%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 63.33%EV -17.29%E -13.10%K -54.04%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 14.67%EV -12.30%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.00%EV -16.57%E -4.36%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.37%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.37%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -9.15%E -6.31%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -15.37%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -14.37%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.82%EV -10.40%E -7.27%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -15.37%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -12.28%E -8.77%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -15.37%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.62%EV -8.52%E -5.84%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.39%EV -16.91%E -3.13%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.99%EV -15.47%E -4.02%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.11% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.69% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29% | 1.9% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.31% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.96% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.72% | 2.3% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |