L’École des cotes

Palermo v Mantova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 19:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Palermo (Local)

Prévision 62.66%1.60cote équitable
EV -5.39%
Avantage -3.57%
Kelly -10.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.62%62.63%62.65%64.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.461.471.5175.76%68.26%68.03%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mantova (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.39%6.50cote équitable
EV +3.40%
Avantage +0.506%
Kelly +0.594%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 6.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.15%15.30%15.42%16.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.405.986.006.7218.52%16.73%16.67%14.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.96%4.55cote équitable
EV -3.40%
Avantage -0.772%
Kelly -0.999%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.42%22.07%21.93%23.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.144.204.4026.32%24.14%23.81%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.75%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.32%EV +3.40%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.93%EV -3.62%E -0.824%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 18:59
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.63%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.63%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 18:59
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.31%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 18:59
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -10.40%E -7.27%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 18:59
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -9.15%E -6.31%K -20.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.73%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.32I 15.82%NM 14.99%EV -2.76%E -0.436%K -0.518%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 18:59
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -3.83%E -0.613%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 18:59
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -3.83%E -0.613%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 18:57
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -3.83%E -0.613%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 18:59
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.02%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.35%EV -4.60%E -0.742%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 19:00
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -6.64%E -4.46%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -6.91%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 18:58
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.70%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.49%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 19:00
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 18:59
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 19:00
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 19:00
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 19:00
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 19:00
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 19:00
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 19:00
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 18:51
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 19:00
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 19:00
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 19:00
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 62.36%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 18:59
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 19:00
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -9.15%E -6.31%K -20.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 18:58
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-04 18:59
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-04 18:59
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-04 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-04 18:59
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -12.28%E -8.77%K -30.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-04 19:00
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -9.22%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 18:59
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -9.22%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 19:00
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.53%EV -8.52%E -5.84%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -10.76%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.53%EV -8.52%E -5.84%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -10.76%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -9.15%E -6.31%K -20.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -10.76%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 19:00
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -10.40%E -7.27%K -24.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -10.76%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-04 19:00
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.53%E -2.00%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 19:00
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -11.53%E -2.00%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 18:59
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 60.91%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -11.53%E -2.00%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -15.47%E -4.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-04 19:00
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -11.53%E -2.00%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.37%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-04 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.87%EV -12.30%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-04 19:00
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 63.33%EV -17.29%E -13.10%K -54.04%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 14.67%EV -12.30%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.00%EV -16.57%E -4.36%K -5.92%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-04 18:59
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.37%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-04 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.37%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-04 19:00
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -9.15%E -6.31%K -20.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -15.37%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -14.37%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-04 19:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.82%EV -10.40%E -7.27%K -24.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -15.37%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-04 18:59
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -12.28%E -8.77%K -30.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -15.37%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-04 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.62%EV -8.52%E -5.84%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.39%EV -16.91%E -3.13%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.99%EV -15.47%E -4.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-04 19:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.11%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-03-04 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-03-04 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-03-04 19:00
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.69%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29%1.9%2026-03-04 19:00
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 64.31%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.96%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.72%2.3%2026-03-04 19:00