La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Palermo v Mantova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Palermo (Local)
Predicción 62.66%1.60momio equitativo
EV -5.39%
Ventaja -3.57%
Kelly -10.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.62%62.63%62.65%64.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.461.471.5175.76%68.26%68.03%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Mantova (Visitante)
Predicción 15.39%6.50momio equitativo
EV +3.40%
Ventaja +0.506%
Kelly +0.594%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.15%15.30%15.42%16.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.405.986.006.7218.52%16.73%16.67%14.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.96%4.55momio equitativo
EV -3.40%
Ventaja -0.772%
Kelly -0.999%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.42%22.07%21.93%23.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.144.204.4026.32%24.14%23.81%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.75%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.72I 14.88%NM 14.32%EV +3.40%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.93%EV -3.62%E -0.824%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.63%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.63%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.31%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -10.40%E -7.27%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -9.15%E -6.31%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.73%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.32I 15.82%NM 14.99%EV -2.76%E -0.436%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -3.83%E -0.613%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Bovada | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -3.83%E -0.613%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 18:57 |
| BetUS | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -3.83%E -0.613%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.02%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.35%EV -4.60%E -0.742%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -6.64%E -4.46%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -6.91%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 18:58 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.70%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.49%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Unibet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Casumo | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 18:51 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| betPARX | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.36%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -9.15%E -6.31%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 18:58 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -12.28%E -8.77%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -9.22%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Betsson | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -9.22%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.53%EV -8.52%E -5.84%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -10.76%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.53%EV -8.52%E -5.84%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -10.76%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -9.15%E -6.31%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -10.76%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -10.40%E -7.27%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -10.76%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.53%E -2.00%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -11.53%E -2.00%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.91%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -11.53%E -2.00%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -15.47%E -4.02%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -11.53%E -2.00%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.37%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.87%EV -12.30%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 63.33%EV -17.29%E -13.10%K -54.04%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 14.67%EV -12.30%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.00%EV -16.57%E -4.36%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.37%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.77%E -6.79%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.37%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -9.15%E -6.31%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -15.37%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -14.37%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.82%EV -10.40%E -7.27%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -15.37%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -12.28%E -8.77%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -15.37%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.62%EV -8.52%E -5.84%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.39%EV -16.91%E -3.13%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.99%EV -15.47%E -4.02%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.11% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.69% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29% | 1.9% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.31% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.96% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.72% | 2.3% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |