Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.52
assuming max odds 7.19
assuming max odds 4.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Palermo (Local): 62.80%; Juve Stabia (Visit): 14.42%; Draw: 22.78%. For Juve Stabia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.93. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.69%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.33%EV -6.43%E -4.31%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.33%EV +3.69%E +0.513%K +0.595%G +0.022% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.34%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-23 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.53%EV -4.54%E -2.99%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 7.09I 14.10%NM 13.41%EV +2.24%E +0.316%K +0.368%G +0.008% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.06%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +0.945%E +0.135%K +0.158%G +0.001% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -10.20%E -7.13%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +0.945%E +0.135%K +0.158%G +0.001% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 18:43 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV +0.945%E +0.135%K +0.158%G +0.001% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -2.05%E -0.476%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -8.31%E -5.69%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.62%EV -1.22%E -0.178%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -5.46%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -10.20%E -7.13%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -2.66%E -0.394%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.96%EV -5.17%E -3.43%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -4.82%E -0.731%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -6.43%E -4.31%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.38%EV -7.68%E -5.23%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 18:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 18:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.08%EV -13.34%E -9.66%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.39%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.53%EV -15.72%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-23 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -7.71%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -7.71%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -7.71%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.48%EV -8.31%E -5.69%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.60%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.92%EV -9.34%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 18:43 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.49%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -14.58%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.17%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.15%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.14%EV -7.68%E -5.23%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.73%EV -10.59%E -1.71%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.14%EV -7.68%E -5.23%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.73%EV -10.59%E -1.71%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -13.48%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.48%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.48%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.48%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.48%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.98%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -13.48%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.04%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.20%EV -7.68%E -5.23%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -14.92%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 18:43 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.46%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.82%EV -14.92%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.71%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.64%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.30%EV -16.36%E -2.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.64%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.30%EV -16.36%E -2.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.64%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.30%EV -16.36%E -2.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -17.08%E -2.97%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -17.08%E -2.97%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -17.08%E -2.97%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.85%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.73%EV -17.80%E -3.12%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.41%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.35%EV -19.24%E -3.44%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%EV -15.72%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -20.69%E -3.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-23 18:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.45% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.78% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.88% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.78% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.31% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.67% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 1.2% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.31% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.67% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 1.2% | 2026-08-23 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.94% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.22% | 2.5% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |