Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Palermo v Juve Stabia

Início: 2026-08-23 19:00 UTC

Final: Palermo 1–0 Juve Stabia

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Palermo (Local)

Previsão 62.80%1.59odd justa
EV -4.54%
Vantagem -2.99%
Kelly -8.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.72%62.85%62.73%65.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.381.471.481.5272.46%68.04%67.57%65.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Juve Stabia (Visitante)

Previsão 14.42%6.93odd justa
EV +3.69%
Vantagem +0.513%
Kelly +0.595%
Crescimento +0.022%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.11%14.41%14.48%15.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.506.296.257.1918.18%15.91%16.00%13.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.78%4.39odd justa
EV -2.05%
Vantagem -0.476%
Kelly -0.620%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.34%22.74%22.80%24.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.704.004.004.3027.03%25.01%25.00%23.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Palermo (Local): 62.80%; Juve Stabia (Visitante): 14.42%; Empate: 22.78%. Para Juve Stabia (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.93. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.19, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.69%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.33%EV -6.43%E -4.31%K -13.12%G +0.000%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.33%EV +3.69%E +0.513%K +0.595%G +0.022%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.34%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 18:50
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.53%EV -4.54%E -2.99%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.09I 14.10%NM 13.41%EV +2.24%E +0.316%K +0.368%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.06%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 18:54
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +0.945%E +0.135%K +0.158%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 18:34
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -10.20%E -7.13%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +0.945%E +0.135%K +0.158%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 18:43
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV +0.945%E +0.135%K +0.158%G +0.001%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -2.05%E -0.476%K -0.620%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -8.31%E -5.69%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.62%EV -1.22%E -0.178%K -0.208%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -5.46%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 18:50
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -10.20%E -7.13%K -23.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -2.66%E -0.394%K -0.463%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 18:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.96%EV -5.17%E -3.43%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -4.82%E -0.731%K -0.861%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 18:44
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 18:44
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 18:34
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -6.43%E -4.31%K -13.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 18:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 18:34
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.38%EV -7.68%E -5.23%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 18:35
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 18:39
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 18:39
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 18:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.08%EV -13.34%E -9.66%K -35.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.39%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.53%EV -15.72%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-23 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -7.71%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 18:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -7.71%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 18:35
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -7.71%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 18:35
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:09
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:09
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:09
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:09
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:09
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.48%EV -8.31%E -5.69%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.60%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.92%EV -9.34%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 18:43
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.49%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 18:34
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -14.58%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 18:44
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.17%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.15%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 18:44
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.14%EV -7.68%E -5.23%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.73%EV -10.59%E -1.71%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 18:44
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.14%EV -7.68%E -5.23%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.73%EV -10.59%E -1.71%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 18:44
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -13.48%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:35
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.48%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 18:24
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.48%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.48%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.48%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 18:24
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.98%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -13.48%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.04%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 18:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.20%EV -7.68%E -5.23%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -14.92%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 18:43
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.46%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.82%EV -14.92%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.71%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-23 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.64%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.30%EV -16.36%E -2.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 18:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.64%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.30%EV -16.36%E -2.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.64%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.30%EV -16.36%E -2.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 18:09
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -17.08%E -2.97%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 18:39
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -17.08%E -2.97%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -17.08%E -2.97%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.85%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.87%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.73%EV -17.80%E -3.12%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 18:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.41%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.35%EV -19.24%E -3.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%EV -15.72%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-23 18:09
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -20.69%E -3.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-23 18:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.45%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.78%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%0.3%2026-08-23 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.88%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.78%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%0.3%2026-08-23 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.31%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.67%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-08-23 18:54
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.31%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.67%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-08-23 18:55
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 65.94%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.22%2.5%2026-08-23 18:54