Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Palermo v Juve Stabia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 19:00 UTC

Score final : Palermo 1–0 Juve Stabia

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Palermo (Local)

Prévision 62.80%1.59cote équitable
EV -4.54%
Avantage -2.99%
Kelly -8.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.72%62.85%62.73%65.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.471.481.5272.46%68.04%67.57%65.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Juve Stabia (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.42%6.93cote équitable
EV +3.69%
Avantage +0.513%
Kelly +0.595%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 7.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.11%14.41%14.48%15.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.296.257.1918.18%15.91%16.00%13.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.78%4.39cote équitable
EV -2.05%
Avantage -0.476%
Kelly -0.620%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.34%22.74%22.80%24.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.004.004.3027.03%25.01%25.00%23.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Palermo (Local) : 62.80% ; Juve Stabia (Visiteur) : 14.42% ; Match nul : 22.78%. Pour Juve Stabia (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.93. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.19, soit une espérance positive de +3.69%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.33%EV -6.43%E -4.31%K -13.12%G +0.000%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.33%EV +3.69%E +0.513%K +0.595%G +0.022%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.34%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 18:50
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.53%EV -4.54%E -2.99%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.09I 14.10%NM 13.41%EV +2.24%E +0.316%K +0.368%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.06%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 18:54
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +0.945%E +0.135%K +0.158%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 18:34
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -10.20%E -7.13%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +0.945%E +0.135%K +0.158%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 18:43
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV +0.945%E +0.135%K +0.158%G +0.001%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -2.05%E -0.476%K -0.620%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -8.31%E -5.69%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.62%EV -1.22%E -0.178%K -0.208%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -5.46%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 18:50
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -10.20%E -7.13%K -23.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -2.66%E -0.394%K -0.463%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 18:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.96%EV -5.17%E -3.43%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -4.82%E -0.731%K -0.861%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 18:44
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 18:44
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 18:34
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -6.43%E -4.31%K -13.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 18:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 18:34
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.38%EV -7.68%E -5.23%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 18:35
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 18:39
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 18:39
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 18:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.08%EV -13.34%E -9.66%K -35.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.39%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.53%EV -15.72%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-23 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -7.71%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 18:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -7.71%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 18:35
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -7.71%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 18:35
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:09
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:09
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:09
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:09
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:09
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.48%EV -8.31%E -5.69%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.60%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.92%EV -9.34%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 18:43
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.49%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 18:34
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -14.58%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 18:44
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.17%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.15%EV -9.87%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 18:44
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.14%EV -7.68%E -5.23%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.73%EV -10.59%E -1.71%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 18:44
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.14%EV -7.68%E -5.23%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.73%EV -10.59%E -1.71%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 18:44
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -13.48%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:35
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.48%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 18:24
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.48%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.48%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.48%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 18:24
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.98%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -13.48%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.04%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 18:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.20%EV -7.68%E -5.23%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -14.92%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 18:43
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.46%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.82%EV -14.92%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.71%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-23 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.64%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.30%EV -16.36%E -2.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 18:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.64%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.30%EV -16.36%E -2.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.64%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.30%EV -16.36%E -2.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 18:09
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -17.08%E -2.97%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 18:39
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -17.08%E -2.97%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -17.08%E -2.97%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.85%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.87%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.73%EV -17.80%E -3.12%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 18:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.41%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.35%EV -19.24%E -3.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%EV -15.72%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-23 18:09
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -20.69%E -3.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-23 18:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.45%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.78%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%0.3%2026-08-23 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.88%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.78%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%0.3%2026-08-23 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.31%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.67%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-08-23 18:54
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.31%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.67%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-08-23 18:55
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 65.94%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.22%2.5%2026-08-23 18:54