Szkoła Kursów

Padova v Spezia

Początek: 2026-03-03 18:04 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Padova (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 36.31%2.75kurs godziwy
EV -1.95%
Przewaga -0.723%
Kelly -1.15%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.32%36.42%36.23%38.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.552.582.7044.44%39.25%38.76%37.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Spezia (Goście)

Prognoza 30.98%3.23kurs godziwy
EV +5.34%
Przewaga +1.57%
Kelly +2.23%
Wzrost +0.119%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.99%31.00%31.06%33.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.702.922.903.4037.04%34.19%34.48%29.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 32.70%3.06kurs godziwy
EV -1.89%
Przewaga -0.630%
Kelly -0.944%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.92%32.58%32.71%34.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.452.822.853.0040.82%35.51%35.09%33.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.38%EV -9.94%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV +5.34%E +1.57%K +2.23%G +0.119%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.63%EV -7.45%E -2.63%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 17:59
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.25%EV -3.04%E -1.14%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%EV -0.856%E -0.268%K -0.389%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.49%EV -5.49%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-03 17:59
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -0.856%E -0.268%K -0.389%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 18:00
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -3.95%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 18:00
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.58%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.95%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:01
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -3.95%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 18:01
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -3.95%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.95%E -0.723%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -4.57%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 17:59
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.95%E -0.723%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -4.57%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 18:00
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.94%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 18:00
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 36.23%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.48%EV -9.74%E -3.53%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 17:59
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.31%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -5.81%E -1.91%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.88%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 17:59
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.95%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 17:59
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.58%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-03 18:00
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.89%E -0.630%K -0.944%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 18:00
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -1.89%E -0.630%K -0.944%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 18:01
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 18:00
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -12.85%E -5.35%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 17:59
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 17:59
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 17:59
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 17:59
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -14.32%E -5.46%K -8.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-03 18:01
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -6.31%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.67%E -2.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -7.78%E -2.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 17:59
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -6.31%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.67%E -2.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -7.78%E -2.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 17:59
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -8.60%E -2.92%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 17:59
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -5.58%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 18:00
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 17:59
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 18:01
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-03 18:00
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -14.66%E -6.24%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-03 18:00
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -15.75%E -6.79%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-03 17:59
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -11.70%E -4.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-03 17:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -12.85%E -5.35%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -11.70%E -4.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.15%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-03 17:59
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.48%EV -16.48%E -7.16%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.24%EV -11.70%E -4.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.28%EV -12.68%E -4.75%K -7.59%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-03 18:00
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -12.85%E -5.35%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-03 18:00
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.23%EV -16.48%E -7.16%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.76%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.01%EV -19.88%E -8.11%K -13.71%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-03 18:00
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 18:00
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 18:01
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 17:47
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 18:00
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 18:01
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 18:01
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 18:01
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 18:00
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 18:01
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 18:01
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 18:00
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 18:01
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -18.29%E -8.13%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.03%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.03%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-03 18:00
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.32%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -16.35%E -6.05%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-03 18:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%0.9%2026-03-03 18:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%0.9%2026-03-03 18:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.71%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.71%0.9%2026-03-03 18:00
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.86%1.1%2026-03-03 18:01
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 35.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.36%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.68%4.6%2026-03-03 18:01