L’École des cotesFrançais
Padova v Spezia
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Padova (Local)
Prévision 36.31%2.75cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -0.723%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.32%36.42%36.23%38.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.552.582.7044.44%39.25%38.76%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Spezia (Visiteur)
Prévision 30.98%3.23cote équitable
EV +5.34%
Avantage +1.57%
Kelly +2.23%
Croissance +0.119%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.99%31.00%31.06%33.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.922.903.4037.04%34.19%34.48%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 32.70%3.06cote équitable
EV -1.89%
Avantage -0.630%
Kelly -0.944%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.92%32.58%32.71%34.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.822.853.0040.82%35.51%35.09%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.38%EV -9.94%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV +5.34%E +1.57%K +2.23%G +0.119% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.63%EV -7.45%E -2.63%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.25%EV -3.04%E -1.14%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%EV -0.856%E -0.268%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.49%EV -5.49%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -0.856%E -0.268%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -3.95%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.58%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.95%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -3.95%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -3.95%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.95%E -0.723%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -4.57%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.95%E -0.723%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -4.57%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.94%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| BetUS | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.23%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.48%EV -9.74%E -3.53%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.31%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -5.81%E -1.91%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.88%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.95%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.58%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.89%E -0.630%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -1.89%E -0.630%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -12.85%E -5.35%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -14.32%E -5.46%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -6.31%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.67%E -2.57%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -7.78%E -2.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -6.31%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.67%E -2.57%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -7.78%E -2.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -8.60%E -2.92%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -5.58%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -14.66%E -6.24%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -15.75%E -6.79%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -11.70%E -4.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -12.85%E -5.35%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -11.70%E -4.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.15%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.48%EV -16.48%E -7.16%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.24%EV -11.70%E -4.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.28%EV -12.68%E -4.75%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -12.85%E -5.35%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.23%EV -16.48%E -7.16%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.76%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.01%EV -19.88%E -8.11%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| Unibet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| BetRivers | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 17:47 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| Casumo | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| Grosvenor | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| betPARX | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -18.29%E -8.13%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.03%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.03%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.32%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -16.35%E -6.05%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95% | 0.9% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95% | 0.9% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.71% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.71% | 0.9% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.86% | 1.1% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| Smarkets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.96% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.36% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.68% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |