La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Padova v Spezia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Padova (Local)
Predicción 36.31%2.75momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -0.723%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.32%36.42%36.23%38.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.552.582.7044.44%39.25%38.76%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Spezia (Visitante)
Predicción 30.98%3.23momio equitativo
EV +5.34%
Ventaja +1.57%
Kelly +2.23%
Crecimiento +0.119%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.99%31.00%31.06%33.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.922.903.4037.04%34.19%34.48%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 32.70%3.06momio equitativo
EV -1.89%
Ventaja -0.630%
Kelly -0.944%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.92%32.58%32.71%34.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.822.853.0040.82%35.51%35.09%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.38%EV -9.94%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV +5.34%E +1.57%K +2.23%G +0.119% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.63%EV -7.45%E -2.63%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.25%EV -3.04%E -1.14%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%EV -0.856%E -0.268%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.49%EV -5.49%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -0.856%E -0.268%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -3.95%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.58%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.95%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -3.95%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -3.95%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.95%E -0.723%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -4.57%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.95%E -0.723%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -4.57%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.94%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| BetUS | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.23%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.48%EV -9.74%E -3.53%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.31%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -5.81%E -1.91%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.88%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.95%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.58%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.89%E -0.630%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -1.89%E -0.630%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -12.85%E -5.35%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -14.32%E -5.46%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -6.31%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.67%E -2.57%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -7.78%E -2.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -6.31%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.67%E -2.57%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -7.78%E -2.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -8.60%E -2.92%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -5.58%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -14.66%E -6.24%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -15.75%E -6.79%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -11.70%E -4.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -12.85%E -5.35%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -11.70%E -4.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.15%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-03 17:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.48%EV -16.48%E -7.16%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.24%EV -11.70%E -4.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.28%EV -12.68%E -4.75%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -12.85%E -5.35%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.23%EV -16.48%E -7.16%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.76%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.01%EV -19.88%E -8.11%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| Unibet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| BetRivers | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 17:47 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| Casumo | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| Grosvenor | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| betPARX | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -18.29%E -8.13%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.03%EV -14.80%E -5.38%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.03%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.32%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -16.35%E -6.05%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95% | 0.9% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95% | 0.9% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.71% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.71% | 0.9% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.86% | 1.1% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |
| Smarkets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.96% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.36% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.68% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 18:01 |