La scuola delle quote

Padova v Bari

Inizio: 2026-02-21 14:02 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Padova (Casa)

Previsione 45.93%2.18quota equa
EV -2.63%
Vantaggio -1.24%
Kelly -2.35%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.57%45.80%45.91%47.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.802.012.022.1255.56%49.83%49.50%47.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bari (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.45%4.09quota equa
EV +4.38%
Vantaggio +1.03%
Kelly +1.34%
Crescita +0.059%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.64%24.45%24.48%26.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.733.704.2730.30%26.81%27.03%23.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.63%3.38quota equa
EV -3.72%
Vantaggio -1.14%
Kelly -1.65%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.04%29.75%29.61%31.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.073.103.2537.04%32.60%32.26%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.15%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.64%EV +4.38%E +1.03%K +1.34%G +0.059%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 13:59
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.30%EV -4.93%E -2.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV +0.229%E +0.056%K +0.074%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -6.38%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.30%EV -4.93%E -2.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV +0.229%E +0.056%K +0.074%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -6.38%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 13:59
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +0.229%E +0.056%K +0.074%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.22%E -0.554%K -0.739%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -12.60%E -4.27%K -6.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:00
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -2.22%E -0.554%K -0.739%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 14:00
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -3.44%E -0.870%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -8.75%E -2.84%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 13:59
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 45.66%EV -7.68%E -3.82%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -3.44%E -0.870%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -12.60%E -4.27%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 13:59
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 45.66%EV -7.68%E -3.82%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -3.44%E -0.870%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -12.60%E -4.27%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 13:59
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.37%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -4.66%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -3.72%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 14:00
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -4.66%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 14:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -5.88%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:00
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.87%EV -4.93%E -2.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.73%EV -6.13%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.40%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 13:59
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -7.11%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 14:00
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -7.11%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 13:59
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.84%EV -11.82%E -6.16%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -7.11%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 14:00
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.66%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43%EV -7.11%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.91%EV -14.68%E -5.10%K -7.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 14:00
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.09%EV -2.63%E -1.24%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -3.72%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 13:59
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 13:59
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:00
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.51%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -14.68%E -5.10%K -7.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-21 14:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:00
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:00
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:00
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:00
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 13:51
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:00
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:00
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:00
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:00
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.77%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 14:00
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.77%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.09%EV -15.03%E -8.13%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.87%EV -10.77%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.04%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-21 14:00
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 46.76%EV -15.49%E -8.42%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.57%EV -10.77%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.67%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-21 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 13:59
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 13:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 13:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 13:59
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -12.28%E -6.43%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.5%2026-02-21 14:00
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.15%EV -17.33%E -9.63%K -21.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.08%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -20.01%E -7.41%K -11.77%G +0.000%20.4%2026-02-21 13:59
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.43%EV -13.20%E -6.98%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.51%EV -12.48%E -3.49%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.06%EV -10.53%E -3.49%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-21 13:59
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -13.22%E -3.72%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 13:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.11%EV -12.74%E -6.70%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -13.22%E -3.72%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-21 13:59
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.44%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 13:59
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.44%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.44%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 14:00
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.44%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 14:00
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -16.88%E -4.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.60%EV -12.28%E -6.43%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -19.33%E -5.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.58%EV -14.68%E -5.10%K -7.81%G +0.000%17.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-02-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-02-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-02-21 14:00
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-02-21 14:00
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-02-21 14:00