L’École des cotes

Padova v Bari

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 14:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Padova (Local)

Prévision 45.93%2.18cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -2.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.57%45.80%45.91%47.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.802.012.022.1255.56%49.83%49.50%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bari (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.45%4.09cote équitable
EV +4.38%
Avantage +1.03%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.059%

avec la cote maximale 4.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.64%24.45%24.48%26.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.733.704.2730.30%26.81%27.03%23.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.63%3.38cote équitable
EV -3.72%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -1.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.04%29.75%29.61%31.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.073.103.2537.04%32.60%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.15%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.64%EV +4.38%E +1.03%K +1.34%G +0.059%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 13:59
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.30%EV -4.93%E -2.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV +0.229%E +0.056%K +0.074%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -6.38%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.30%EV -4.93%E -2.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV +0.229%E +0.056%K +0.074%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -6.38%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 13:59
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +0.229%E +0.056%K +0.074%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.22%E -0.554%K -0.739%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -12.60%E -4.27%K -6.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:00
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -2.22%E -0.554%K -0.739%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 14:00
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -3.44%E -0.870%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -8.75%E -2.84%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 13:59
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 45.66%EV -7.68%E -3.82%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -3.44%E -0.870%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -12.60%E -4.27%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 13:59
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 45.66%EV -7.68%E -3.82%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -3.44%E -0.870%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -12.60%E -4.27%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 13:59
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.37%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -4.66%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -3.72%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 14:00
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -4.66%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 14:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -5.88%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:00
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.87%EV -4.93%E -2.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.73%EV -6.13%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.40%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 13:59
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -7.11%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 14:00
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -7.11%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 13:59
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.84%EV -11.82%E -6.16%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -7.11%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 14:00
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.66%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43%EV -7.11%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.91%EV -14.68%E -5.10%K -7.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 14:00
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.09%EV -2.63%E -1.24%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -3.72%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 13:59
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 13:59
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:00
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.51%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -14.68%E -5.10%K -7.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-21 14:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:00
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:00
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:00
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:00
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 13:51
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:00
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:00
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:00
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:00
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.77%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 14:00
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.77%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.09%EV -15.03%E -8.13%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.87%EV -10.77%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.04%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-21 14:00
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 46.76%EV -15.49%E -8.42%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.57%EV -10.77%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.67%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-21 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 13:59
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 13:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 13:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 13:59
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -12.28%E -6.43%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.5%2026-02-21 14:00
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.15%EV -17.33%E -9.63%K -21.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.08%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -20.01%E -7.41%K -11.77%G +0.000%20.4%2026-02-21 13:59
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.43%EV -13.20%E -6.98%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.51%EV -12.48%E -3.49%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.06%EV -10.53%E -3.49%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-21 13:59
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -13.22%E -3.72%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 13:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.11%EV -12.74%E -6.70%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -13.22%E -3.72%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-21 13:59
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.44%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 13:59
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.44%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.44%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 14:00
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.44%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 14:00
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -16.88%E -4.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.60%EV -12.28%E -6.43%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -19.33%E -5.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.58%EV -14.68%E -5.10%K -7.81%G +0.000%17.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-02-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-02-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-02-21 14:00
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-02-21 14:00
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-02-21 14:00