La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Padova v Bari
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Padova (Local)
Predicción 45.93%2.18momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -2.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.57%45.80%45.91%47.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.802.012.022.1255.56%49.83%49.50%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Bari (Visitante)
Predicción 24.45%4.09momio equitativo
EV +4.38%
Ventaja +1.03%
Kelly +1.34%
Crecimiento +0.059%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.64%24.45%24.48%26.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.733.704.2730.30%26.81%27.03%23.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.63%3.38momio equitativo
EV -3.72%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -1.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.04%29.75%29.61%31.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.073.103.2537.04%32.60%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.15%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.64%EV +4.38%E +1.03%K +1.34%G +0.059% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.30%EV -4.93%E -2.38%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV +0.229%E +0.056%K +0.074%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -6.38%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.30%EV -4.93%E -2.38%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV +0.229%E +0.056%K +0.074%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -6.38%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +0.229%E +0.056%K +0.074%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.22%E -0.554%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -12.60%E -4.27%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -2.22%E -0.554%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -3.44%E -0.870%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -8.75%E -2.84%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Bovada | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.66%EV -7.68%E -3.82%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -3.44%E -0.870%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -12.60%E -4.27%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| BetUS | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.66%EV -7.68%E -3.82%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -3.44%E -0.870%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -12.60%E -4.27%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.37%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -4.66%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -3.72%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -4.66%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -5.88%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.87%EV -4.93%E -2.38%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.73%EV -6.13%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.40%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -7.11%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -7.11%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.84%EV -11.82%E -6.16%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -7.11%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.66%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43%EV -7.11%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.91%EV -14.68%E -5.10%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.09%EV -2.63%E -1.24%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -3.72%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.51%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -14.68%E -5.10%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 13:51 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.77%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.77%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.09%EV -15.03%E -8.13%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.87%EV -10.77%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.04%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 46.76%EV -15.49%E -8.42%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.57%EV -10.77%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.67%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -12.28%E -6.43%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.15%EV -17.33%E -9.63%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.08%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -20.01%E -7.41%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.43%EV -13.20%E -6.98%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.51%EV -12.48%E -3.49%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.06%EV -10.53%E -3.49%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -13.22%E -3.72%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.11%EV -12.74%E -6.70%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -13.22%E -3.72%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -5.85%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.44%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.44%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.44%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.44%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -16.88%E -4.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.60%EV -12.28%E -6.43%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -19.33%E -5.86%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.58%EV -14.68%E -5.10%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.16% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.16% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.16% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 1.7% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |