Language:English
Monza v Virtus Entella
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Monza (Local)
Prediction 61.98%1.61fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -5.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.79%61.93%61.89%63.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.501.501.5674.63%66.62%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Virtus Entella (Visit)
Prediction 14.21%7.04fair odd
EV +6.88%
Edge +0.915%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.073%
assuming max odds 7.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.75%14.18%14.29%15.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.606.326.257.5217.86%15.81%16.00%13.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.81%4.20fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -0.524%
Kelly -0.692%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.83%23.89%23.82%25.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.763.704.1129.41%26.62%27.03%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Monza (Local): 61.98%; Virtus Entella (Visit): 14.21%; Draw: 23.81%. For Virtus Entella (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.04. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.77%EV -6.41%E -4.24%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.52I 13.30%NM 12.80%EV +6.88%E +0.915%K +1.05%G +0.073% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.43%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-27 17:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.91%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.19%EV +3.04%E +0.419%K +0.486%G +0.015% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 17:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.44%EV -8.89%E -6.05%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.75%EV +2.33%E +0.324%K +0.376%G +0.009% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 17:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.46%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.65%EV -0.513%E -0.073%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.46%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.65%EV -0.513%E -0.073%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 17:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.77%EV -6.41%E -4.24%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -0.513%E -0.073%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -0.513%E -0.073%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 17:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -10.75%E -7.46%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -0.513%E -0.073%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.72%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-27 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.99%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.41%EV -1.22%E -0.176%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.96%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 13.65%EV -2.50%E -0.365%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.90%EV -6.68%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 17:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.84%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -4.07%E -0.602%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.53%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 17:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.71%EV -8.89%E -6.05%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -4.07%E -0.602%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 17:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.31%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.44%EV -6.20%E -0.939%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -2.39%E -0.583%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-27 17:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-27 17:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 17:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 17:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.53%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 17:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.72%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-27 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-27 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-27 17:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-27 17:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -10.75%E -7.46%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-27 17:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.67%EV -10.46%E -1.66%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 17:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.67%EV -10.46%E -1.66%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 17:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.41%E -4.24%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.74%EV -11.17%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.53%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.09%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -11.17%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-27 17:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.33%EV -10.75%E -7.46%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.13%EV -11.17%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-27 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 62.17%EV -16.95%E -12.65%K -49.84%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.33%EV -11.17%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.50%EV -19.06%E -5.60%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-02-27 17:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 10:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 10:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 10:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 10:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 10:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 10:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 10:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 10:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 10:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -3.93%E -2.54%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.16%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -15.49%E -4.36%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-27 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.16%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -15.49%E -4.36%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-27 10:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.58%EV -10.75%E -7.46%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -10.72%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-27 17:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.70%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.48%EV -16.15%E -2.74%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-27 17:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.31%EV -11.37%E -7.95%K -26.44%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.86%EV -16.15%E -2.74%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 23.83%EV -12.39%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-27 17:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.19%EV -11.37%E -7.95%K -26.44%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.83%EV -16.15%E -2.74%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -13.10%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-27 17:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 61.87%EV -13.85%E -9.96%K -35.51%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.58%EV -16.15%E -2.74%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.56%EV -13.10%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-02-27 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.79%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -17.57%E -3.03%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -16.68%E -4.76%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-27 10:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.87%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -18.28%E -3.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -13.10%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 17:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.34%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.53%EV -18.28%E -3.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-27 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.34%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.53%EV -18.28%E -3.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-27 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.34%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.53%EV -18.28%E -3.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-27 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.12%EV -10.75%E -7.46%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.72%EV -20.41%E -3.64%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -9.53%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-02-27 17:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-02-27 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-02-27 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-02-27 17:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.42% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.60% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98% | 1.7% | 2026-02-27 17:55 |