L’École des cotes

Monza v Virtus Entella

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Monza (Local)

Prévision 61.98%1.61cote équitable
EV -3.31%
Avantage -2.12%
Kelly -5.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.79%61.93%61.89%63.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.501.501.5674.63%66.62%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Virtus Entella (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.21%7.04cote équitable
EV +6.88%
Avantage +0.915%
Kelly +1.05%
Croissance +0.073%

avec la cote maximale 7.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.75%14.18%14.29%15.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.606.326.257.5217.86%15.81%16.00%13.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.81%4.20cote équitable
EV -2.15%
Avantage -0.524%
Kelly -0.692%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.83%23.89%23.82%25.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.763.704.1129.41%26.62%27.03%24.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.77%EV -6.41%E -4.24%K -12.57%G +0.000%7.52I 13.30%NM 12.80%EV +6.88%E +0.915%K +1.05%G +0.073%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.43%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 17:54
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.91%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.19%EV +3.04%E +0.419%K +0.486%G +0.015%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 17:54
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.44%EV -8.89%E -6.05%K -18.91%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.75%EV +2.33%E +0.324%K +0.376%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 17:49
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.46%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.65%EV -0.513%E -0.073%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 17:35
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.46%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.65%EV -0.513%E -0.073%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 17:35
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.77%EV -6.41%E -4.24%K -12.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -0.513%E -0.073%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 17:49
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -0.513%E -0.073%K -0.085%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 17:34
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -10.75%E -7.46%K -24.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -0.513%E -0.073%K -0.085%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.72%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 17:55
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.99%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.41%EV -1.22%E -0.176%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.96%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 17:55
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 13.65%EV -2.50%E -0.365%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.90%EV -6.68%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 17:49
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.84%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -4.07%E -0.602%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.53%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 17:55
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 62.71%EV -8.89%E -6.05%K -18.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -4.07%E -0.602%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 17:55
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.31%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.44%EV -6.20%E -0.939%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -2.39%E -0.583%K -0.771%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 17:54
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 17:34
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 17:49
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 17:55
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.53%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 17:50
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.72%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 17:55
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 17:49
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 17:49
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 17:50
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 17:49
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -10.75%E -7.46%K -24.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-27 17:34
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.67%EV -10.46%E -1.66%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 17:49
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.67%EV -10.46%E -1.66%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 17:49
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.41%E -4.24%K -12.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.74%EV -11.17%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.53%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 17:54
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.09%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -11.17%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-27 17:54
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.33%EV -10.75%E -7.46%K -24.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.13%EV -11.17%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-27 17:35
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 62.17%EV -16.95%E -12.65%K -49.84%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.33%EV -11.17%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.50%EV -19.06%E -5.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%20.0%2026-02-27 17:54
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 10:44
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 10:54
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 10:44
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 10:54
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 10:44
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 10:54
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 10:54
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 10:45
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 10:45
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -3.93%E -2.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 17:35
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 17:54
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.16%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -15.49%E -4.36%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 10:45
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.16%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -15.49%E -4.36%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 10:44
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.58%EV -10.75%E -7.46%K -24.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -10.72%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-27 17:34
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.70%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.48%EV -16.15%E -2.74%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 17:49
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.31%EV -11.37%E -7.95%K -26.44%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.86%EV -16.15%E -2.74%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.83%EV -12.39%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-27 17:49
Parions Sport (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.19%EV -11.37%E -7.95%K -26.44%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.83%EV -16.15%E -2.74%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -13.10%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-27 17:49
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 61.87%EV -13.85%E -9.96%K -35.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.58%EV -16.15%E -2.74%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.56%EV -13.10%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-27 17:55
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 58.79%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -17.57%E -3.03%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -16.68%E -4.76%K -6.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-27 10:45
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 58.87%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -18.28%E -3.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -13.10%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 17:54
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.34%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.53%EV -18.28%E -3.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-27 17:50
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.34%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.53%EV -18.28%E -3.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-27 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.34%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.53%EV -18.28%E -3.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-27 17:54
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.12%EV -10.75%E -7.46%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.72%EV -20.41%E -3.64%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -9.53%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-27 17:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-02-27 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-02-27 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-02-27 17:49
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-02-27 17:55
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.42%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%1.7%2026-02-27 17:55