La escuela de los momios

Monza v Virtus Entella

Inicio: 2026-02-27 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Monza (Local)

Predicción 61.98%1.61momio equitativo
EV -3.31%
Ventaja -2.12%
Kelly -5.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.79%61.93%61.89%63.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.501.501.5674.63%66.62%66.67%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Virtus Entella (Visitante)

Predicción 14.21%7.04momio equitativo
EV +6.88%
Ventaja +0.915%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.073%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.75%14.18%14.29%15.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.606.326.257.5217.86%15.81%16.00%13.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.81%4.20momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -0.524%
Kelly -0.692%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.83%23.89%23.82%25.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.763.704.1129.41%26.62%27.03%24.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.77%EV -6.41%E -4.24%K -12.57%G +0.000%7.52I 13.30%NM 12.80%EV +6.88%E +0.915%K +1.05%G +0.073%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.43%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 17:54
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.91%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.19%EV +3.04%E +0.419%K +0.486%G +0.015%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 17:54
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.44%EV -8.89%E -6.05%K -18.91%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.75%EV +2.33%E +0.324%K +0.376%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 17:49
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.46%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.65%EV -0.513%E -0.073%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 17:35
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.46%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.65%EV -0.513%E -0.073%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 17:35
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.77%EV -6.41%E -4.24%K -12.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -0.513%E -0.073%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 17:49
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -0.513%E -0.073%K -0.085%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 17:34
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -10.75%E -7.46%K -24.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -0.513%E -0.073%K -0.085%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.72%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 17:55
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.99%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.41%EV -1.22%E -0.176%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.96%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 17:55
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 13.65%EV -2.50%E -0.365%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.90%EV -6.68%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 17:49
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.84%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -4.07%E -0.602%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.53%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 17:55
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 62.71%EV -8.89%E -6.05%K -18.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -4.07%E -0.602%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 17:55
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.31%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.44%EV -6.20%E -0.939%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -2.39%E -0.583%K -0.771%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 17:54
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 17:34
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 17:49
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 17:55
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.53%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 17:50
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.72%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 17:55
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 17:49
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 17:49
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 17:50
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 17:49
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -10.75%E -7.46%K -24.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-27 17:34
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.67%EV -10.46%E -1.66%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 17:49
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.67%EV -10.46%E -1.66%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 17:49
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.41%E -4.24%K -12.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.74%EV -11.17%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.53%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 17:54
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.09%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -11.17%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-27 17:54
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.33%EV -10.75%E -7.46%K -24.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.13%EV -11.17%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-27 17:35
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 62.17%EV -16.95%E -12.65%K -49.84%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.33%EV -11.17%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.50%EV -19.06%E -5.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%20.0%2026-02-27 17:54
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 10:44
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 10:54
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 10:44
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 10:54
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 10:44
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 10:54
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 10:54
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 10:45
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 10:45
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -3.93%E -2.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 17:35
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 17:54
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.16%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -15.49%E -4.36%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 10:45
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.16%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -15.49%E -4.36%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 10:44
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.58%EV -10.75%E -7.46%K -24.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -10.72%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-27 17:34
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.70%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.48%EV -16.15%E -2.74%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 17:49
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.31%EV -11.37%E -7.95%K -26.44%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.86%EV -16.15%E -2.74%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.83%EV -12.39%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-27 17:49
Parions Sport (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.19%EV -11.37%E -7.95%K -26.44%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.83%EV -16.15%E -2.74%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -13.10%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-27 17:49
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 61.87%EV -13.85%E -9.96%K -35.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.58%EV -16.15%E -2.74%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.56%EV -13.10%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-27 17:55
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 58.79%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -17.57%E -3.03%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -16.68%E -4.76%K -6.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-27 10:45
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 58.87%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -18.28%E -3.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -13.10%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 17:54
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.34%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.53%EV -18.28%E -3.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-27 17:50
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.34%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.53%EV -18.28%E -3.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-27 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.34%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.53%EV -18.28%E -3.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-27 17:54
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.12%EV -10.75%E -7.46%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.72%EV -20.41%E -3.64%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -9.53%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-27 17:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-02-27 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-02-27 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-02-27 17:49
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-02-27 17:55
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.42%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%1.7%2026-02-27 17:55