A Escola das Odds

Monza v US Catanzaro 1929

Início: 2026-05-29 18:00 UTC

Final: Monza 0–2 US Catanzaro 1929

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Monza (Local)

Previsão 49.78%2.01odd justa
EV -1.45%
Vantagem -0.730%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.58%49.64%49.73%51.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.841.831.9858.82%54.29%54.64%50.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

US Catanzaro 1929 (Visitante)

Previsão 23.79%4.20odd justa
EV +2.29%
Vantagem +0.532%
Kelly +0.694%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.41%24.04%23.80%26.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.863.904.3029.41%25.92%25.64%23.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.44%3.78odd justa
EV -0.862%
Vantagem -0.230%
Kelly -0.313%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.19%26.32%26.47%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.483.503.7533.33%28.73%28.57%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.82%EV -7.42%E -3.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.41%EV +2.29%E +0.532%K +0.694%G +0.016%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.77%EV -1.13%E -0.301%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-29 17:49
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.10%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.19%EV -0.804%E -0.193%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.71%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-29 17:39
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.98%EV -7.42%E -3.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.90%EV -1.52%E -0.367%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.12%EV -4.03%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 17:50
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.47%E -0.602%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 17:39
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.47%E -0.602%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 17:39
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.29%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.22%EV -3.66%E -0.903%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 17:39
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.61%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 17:39
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 17:19
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.42%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 17:49
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 17:29
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 17:29
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 17:39
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 50.82%EV -9.41%E -5.17%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-29 17:29
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -9.91%E -5.47%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 17:29
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -9.91%E -5.47%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 17:29
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -9.91%E -5.47%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 17:29
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -9.91%E -5.47%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 17:29
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -9.91%E -5.47%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 17:29
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -9.91%E -5.47%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 17:29
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -9.91%E -5.47%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.76%EV -10.40%E -5.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -6.04%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-29 17:29
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.90%EV -10.90%E -6.09%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -6.04%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 17:29
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.90%EV -10.90%E -6.09%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -6.04%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 17:29
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -2.18%E -0.590%K -0.809%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 17:39
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.42%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 17:39
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.42%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 17:39
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 50.84%EV -11.90%E -6.72%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-29 17:29
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-29 17:39
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -7.42%E -3.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 17:39
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-29 17:38
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-29 17:09
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 17:49
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 17:49
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 17:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 17:49
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 17:38
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.40%E -5.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-29 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.87%EV -10.90%E -6.09%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-29 17:39
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.72%EV -13.89%E -8.03%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -11.44%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-29 17:29
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-29 17:39
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-29 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-29 17:39
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -12.89%E -7.37%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-29 17:39
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -9.41%E -5.17%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -11.98%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-29 17:39
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -1.45%E -0.730%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -14.36%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -0.862%E -0.230%K -0.313%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 17:18
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.40%E -5.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.36%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-29 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -10.40%E -5.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -14.36%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -20.69%E -6.90%K -10.34%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-29 17:09
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 49.91%EV -15.38%E -9.05%K -21.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -14.36%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.52%EV -15.40%E -4.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-29 17:49
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -15.55%E -4.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 17:20
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -16.74%E -4.78%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 17:19
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -16.74%E -4.78%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 17:19
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.74%E -4.78%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-29 17:18
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -19.12%E -5.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-29 17:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-05-29 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-05-29 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-05-29 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-05-29 17:50
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 51.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-05-29 17:50