L’École des cotes

Monza v US Catanzaro 1929

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-29 18:00 UTC

Score final : Monza 0–2 US Catanzaro 1929

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Monza (Local)

Prévision 49.78%2.01cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -0.730%
Kelly -1.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.58%49.64%49.73%51.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.841.831.9858.82%54.29%54.64%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

US Catanzaro 1929 (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.79%4.20cote équitable
EV +2.29%
Avantage +0.532%
Kelly +0.694%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.41%24.04%23.80%26.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.863.904.3029.41%25.92%25.64%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.44%3.78cote équitable
EV -0.862%
Avantage -0.230%
Kelly -0.313%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.19%26.32%26.47%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.483.503.7533.33%28.73%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.82%EV -7.42%E -3.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.41%EV +2.29%E +0.532%K +0.694%G +0.016%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.77%EV -1.13%E -0.301%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-29 17:49
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.10%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.19%EV -0.804%E -0.193%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.71%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-29 17:39
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.98%EV -7.42%E -3.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.90%EV -1.52%E -0.367%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.12%EV -4.03%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 17:50
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.47%E -0.602%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 17:39
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.47%E -0.602%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 17:39
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.29%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.22%EV -3.66%E -0.903%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 17:39
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.61%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 17:39
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 17:19
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.42%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 17:49
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 17:29
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 17:29
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 17:39
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 50.82%EV -9.41%E -5.17%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-29 17:29
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -9.91%E -5.47%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 17:29
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -9.91%E -5.47%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 17:29
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -9.91%E -5.47%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 17:29
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -9.91%E -5.47%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 17:29
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -9.91%E -5.47%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 17:29
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -9.91%E -5.47%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 17:29
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -9.91%E -5.47%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.76%EV -10.40%E -5.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -6.04%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-29 17:29
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.90%EV -10.90%E -6.09%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -6.04%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 17:29
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.90%EV -10.90%E -6.09%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -6.04%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 17:29
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -2.18%E -0.590%K -0.809%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 17:39
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.42%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 17:39
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.42%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 17:39
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 50.84%EV -11.90%E -6.72%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-29 17:29
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-29 17:39
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -7.42%E -3.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 17:39
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-29 17:38
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-29 17:09
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 17:49
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 17:49
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 17:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 17:49
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 17:38
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.40%E -5.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-29 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.87%EV -10.90%E -6.09%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-29 17:39
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.72%EV -13.89%E -8.03%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -11.44%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-29 17:29
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-29 17:39
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-29 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-29 17:39
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -12.89%E -7.37%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-29 17:39
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -9.41%E -5.17%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -11.98%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-29 17:39
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -1.45%E -0.730%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -14.36%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -0.862%E -0.230%K -0.313%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 17:18
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.40%E -5.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.36%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-29 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -10.40%E -5.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -14.36%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -20.69%E -6.90%K -10.34%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-29 17:09
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 49.91%EV -15.38%E -9.05%K -21.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -14.36%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.52%EV -15.40%E -4.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-29 17:49
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -15.55%E -4.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 17:20
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -16.74%E -4.78%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 17:19
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -16.74%E -4.78%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 17:19
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.74%E -4.78%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-29 17:18
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -19.12%E -5.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-29 17:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-05-29 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-05-29 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-05-29 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-05-29 17:50
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 51.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-05-29 17:50