La escuela de los momiosMonza v US Catanzaro 1929
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Monza (Local)
Predicción 49.78%2.01momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -0.730%
Kelly -1.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.58%49.64%49.73%51.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.841.831.9858.82%54.29%54.64%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
US Catanzaro 1929 (Visitante)
Predicción 23.79%4.20momio equitativo
EV +2.29%
Ventaja +0.532%
Kelly +0.694%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.41%24.04%23.80%26.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.863.904.3029.41%25.92%25.64%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.44%3.78momio equitativo
EV -0.862%
Ventaja -0.230%
Kelly -0.313%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.19%26.32%26.47%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.483.503.7533.33%28.73%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.82%EV -7.42%E -3.99%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.41%EV +2.29%E +0.532%K +0.694%G +0.016% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.77%EV -1.13%E -0.301%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-29 17:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.10%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.19%EV -0.804%E -0.193%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.71%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-29 17:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.98%EV -7.42%E -3.99%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.90%EV -1.52%E -0.367%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.12%EV -4.03%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.47%E -0.602%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.47%E -0.602%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 17:39 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.29%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.22%EV -3.66%E -0.903%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 17:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.61%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 17:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 17:19 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.42%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-29 17:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 17:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.82%EV -9.41%E -5.17%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| Casumo | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -9.91%E -5.47%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -9.91%E -5.47%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -9.91%E -5.47%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -9.91%E -5.47%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -9.91%E -5.47%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| Unibet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -9.91%E -5.47%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| betPARX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -9.91%E -5.47%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.76%EV -10.40%E -5.78%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -6.04%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.90%EV -10.90%E -6.09%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -6.04%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.90%EV -10.90%E -6.09%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -6.04%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -2.18%E -0.590%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-29 17:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.42%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 17:39 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.42%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 17:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.84%EV -11.90%E -6.72%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-29 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -7.42%E -3.99%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-29 17:39 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-29 17:38 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-29 17:09 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-29 17:49 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-29 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-29 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-29 17:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-29 17:38 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.40%E -5.78%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-29 17:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.87%EV -10.90%E -6.09%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-29 17:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.72%EV -13.89%E -8.03%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -11.44%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-29 17:39 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-29 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-29 17:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -12.89%E -7.37%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-29 17:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -9.41%E -5.17%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -11.98%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-29 17:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -1.45%E -0.730%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -14.36%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -0.862%E -0.230%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 17:18 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.40%E -5.78%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.36%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-29 17:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -10.40%E -5.78%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -14.36%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -20.69%E -6.90%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-29 17:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.91%EV -15.38%E -9.05%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -14.36%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.52%EV -15.40%E -4.81%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-29 17:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -15.55%E -4.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-29 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -16.74%E -4.78%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-29 17:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -16.74%E -4.78%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-29 17:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.74%E -4.78%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-29 17:18 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -19.12%E -5.62%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-29 17:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-05-29 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-05-29 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-05-29 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-05-29 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.28% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71% | 1.0% | 2026-05-29 17:50 |