A Escola das Odds

Monza v Palermo

Início: 2026-03-14 16:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Monza (Local)

Previsão 43.67%2.29odd justa
EV -3.94%
Vantagem -1.79%
Kelly -3.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.32%43.76%43.54%44.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.902.102.102.2052.63%47.68%47.62%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Palermo (Visitante)

Previsão 26.94%3.71odd justa
EV +2.66%
Vantagem +0.697%
Kelly +0.945%
Crescimento +0.025%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.14%26.78%27.12%28.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.373.303.8132.26%29.65%30.30%26.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.39%3.40odd justa
EV -1.84%
Vantagem -0.549%
Kelly -0.784%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.70%29.47%29.34%31.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.603.113.163.3438.46%32.11%31.70%29.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.38%EV -4.81%E -2.21%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.39%EV +2.66%E +0.697%K +0.945%G +0.025%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.23%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 15:45
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.64%EV -6.56%E -3.06%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.14%EV +2.39%E +0.628%K +0.852%G +0.020%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.23%EV -7.13%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 15:45
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.64%EV -6.56%E -3.06%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.14%EV +2.39%E +0.628%K +0.852%G +0.020%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.23%EV -7.13%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 15:45
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.20%EV -7.87%E -3.73%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.00%E -0.834%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -8.30%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:00
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -9.18%E -4.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -3.00%E -0.834%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -10.36%E -3.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 16:07
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -9.18%E -4.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -3.00%E -0.834%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -10.36%E -3.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 16:05
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -6.12%E -2.85%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -3.00%E -0.834%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -14.77%E -5.09%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 15:29
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -10.49%E -5.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.00%E -0.834%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:05
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.12%E -2.85%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.35%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 16:00
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.77%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.81%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.42%EV -1.84%E -0.549%K -0.784%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 16:05
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -3.94%E -1.79%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.91%EV -5.25%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.01%E -0.912%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 15:34
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -3.94%E -1.79%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 15:15
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:05
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:05
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:05
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -17.71%E -6.32%K -9.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 15:29
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -10.49%E -5.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -17.71%E -6.32%K -9.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-14 15:30
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.12%E -2.85%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.04%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 12:05
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.12%E -2.85%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 12:05
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.12%E -2.85%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:05
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 15:35
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 16:00
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 16:00
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -10.49%E -5.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -19.18%E -6.97%K -10.96%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-14 15:30
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.12%E -2.85%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.42%E -2.36%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -7.42%E -2.36%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 16:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 16:09
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.49%E -5.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -3.01%E -0.912%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 15:40
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 16:10
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -12.67%E -6.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-14 12:04
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.58%EV -10.49%E -5.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.32%EV -11.89%E -3.64%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.10%EV -9.77%E -3.18%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 15:53
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -4.81%E -2.21%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.42%E -2.36%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:09
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:24
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.49%E -5.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-14 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.49%E -5.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-14 15:55
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.49%E -5.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-14 15:55
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -13.78%E -4.31%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:20
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -13.78%E -4.31%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -12.67%E -6.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -13.78%E -4.31%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-14 12:05
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.05%EV -14.85%E -7.62%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.84%EV -13.78%E -4.31%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.11%EV -13.30%E -4.51%K -6.82%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-14 16:10
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.02%EV -17.04%E -8.97%K -18.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.54%EV -13.78%E -4.31%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.44%EV -23.58%E -9.07%K -14.74%G +0.000%22.3%2026-03-14 15:29
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -9.18%E -4.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -15.13%E -4.80%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -7.42%E -2.36%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 15:20
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.46%EV -12.67%E -6.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -16.47%E -5.31%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -10.36%E -3.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-14 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -12.67%E -6.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -16.47%E -5.31%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -15.35%E -5.33%K -8.17%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-14 16:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45%1.1%2026-03-14 16:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-03-14 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%1.4%2026-03-14 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%1.4%2026-03-14 15:55
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%2.7%2026-03-14 16:10