مدرسة الاحتمالات

Monza v Palermo

البداية: 2026-03-14 16:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Monza (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.67%2.29السعر العادل
EV -3.94%
الأفضلية -1.79%
Kelly -3.28%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.32%43.76%43.54%44.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.902.102.102.2052.63%47.68%47.62%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Palermo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.94%3.71السعر العادل
EV +2.66%
الأفضلية +0.697%
Kelly +0.945%
النمو +0.025%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.81

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.14%26.78%27.12%28.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.373.303.8132.26%29.65%30.30%26.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.39%3.40السعر العادل
EV -1.84%
الأفضلية -0.549%
Kelly -0.784%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.34

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.70%29.47%29.34%31.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.603.113.163.3438.46%32.11%31.70%29.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.38%EV -4.81%E -2.21%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.39%EV +2.66%E +0.697%K +0.945%G +0.025%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.23%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 15:45
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.64%EV -6.56%E -3.06%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.14%EV +2.39%E +0.628%K +0.852%G +0.020%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.23%EV -7.13%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 15:45
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.64%EV -6.56%E -3.06%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.14%EV +2.39%E +0.628%K +0.852%G +0.020%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.23%EV -7.13%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 15:45
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.20%EV -7.87%E -3.73%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.00%E -0.834%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -8.30%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:00
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -9.18%E -4.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -3.00%E -0.834%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -10.36%E -3.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 16:07
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -9.18%E -4.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -3.00%E -0.834%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -10.36%E -3.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 16:05
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -6.12%E -2.85%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -3.00%E -0.834%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -14.77%E -5.09%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 15:29
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -10.49%E -5.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.00%E -0.834%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:05
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.12%E -2.85%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.35%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 16:00
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.77%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.81%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.42%EV -1.84%E -0.549%K -0.784%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 16:05
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -3.94%E -1.79%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.91%EV -5.25%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.01%E -0.912%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 15:34
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -3.94%E -1.79%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 15:15
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:05
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:05
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:05
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -17.71%E -6.32%K -9.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 15:29
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -10.49%E -5.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -17.71%E -6.32%K -9.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-14 15:30
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.12%E -2.85%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.04%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 12:05
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.12%E -2.85%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 12:05
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.12%E -2.85%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:05
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 15:35
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 16:00
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 16:00
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -10.49%E -5.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -19.18%E -6.97%K -10.96%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-14 15:30
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.12%E -2.85%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.42%E -2.36%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -7.42%E -2.36%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 16:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 16:09
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.49%E -5.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -3.01%E -0.912%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 15:40
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 16:10
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -12.67%E -6.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-14 12:04
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.58%EV -10.49%E -5.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.32%EV -11.89%E -3.64%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.10%EV -9.77%E -3.18%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 15:53
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -4.81%E -2.21%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.42%E -2.36%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:09
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:24
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.43%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.49%E -5.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-14 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.49%E -5.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-14 15:55
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.49%E -5.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.43%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-14 15:55
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -13.78%E -4.31%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:20
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -13.78%E -4.31%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -12.67%E -6.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -13.78%E -4.31%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-14 12:05
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.05%EV -14.85%E -7.62%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.84%EV -13.78%E -4.31%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.11%EV -13.30%E -4.51%K -6.82%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-14 16:10
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.02%EV -17.04%E -8.97%K -18.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.54%EV -13.78%E -4.31%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.44%EV -23.58%E -9.07%K -14.74%G +0.000%22.3%2026-03-14 15:29
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -9.18%E -4.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -15.13%E -4.80%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -7.42%E -2.36%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 15:20
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.46%EV -12.67%E -6.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -16.47%E -5.31%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -10.36%E -3.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-14 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -12.67%E -6.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -16.47%E -5.31%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -15.35%E -5.33%K -8.17%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-14 16:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45%1.1%2026-03-14 16:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-03-14 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%1.4%2026-03-14 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%1.4%2026-03-14 15:55
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%2.7%2026-03-14 16:10