Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Mantova v Empoli

Inizio: 2026-08-30 17:02 UTC

Finale: Mantova 3–1 Empoli

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Mantova (Casa)

Previsione 48.79%2.05quota equa
EV -2.43%
Vantaggio -1.21%
Kelly -2.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.40%48.63%48.79%49.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.911.912.0056.50%52.31%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Empoli (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.55%4.25quota equa
EV +2.22%
Vantaggio +0.510%
Kelly +0.663%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.25%23.71%23.51%26.68%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.783.774.3431.25%26.43%26.49%23.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.66%3.62quota equa
EV -0.416%
Vantaggio -0.116%
Kelly -0.160%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.45%27.66%27.70%28.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.333.303.6032.26%30.00%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Mantova (Casa): 48.79%; Empoli (Trasferta): 23.55%; Pareggio: 27.66%. Per Empoli (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.25. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 4.34, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.22%.

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.52%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.25%EV +2.22%E +0.510%K +0.663%G +0.015%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.23%EV -5.40%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -1.08%E -0.258%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -1.08%E -0.258%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:50
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -1.08%E -0.258%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -3.44%E -0.838%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -7.79%E -4.12%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.44%E -0.838%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -8.28%E -4.41%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -4.61%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 16:50
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.49%EV -6.33%E -3.30%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.52%EV -4.85%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.63%E -0.747%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.84%E -3.03%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 16:20
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:44
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -8.77%E -4.69%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:50
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -8.77%E -4.69%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 16:55
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -8.77%E -4.69%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 16:54
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -8.77%E -4.69%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -8.77%E -4.69%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -5.84%E -3.03%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:18
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -7.31%E -3.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 16:54
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.75%E -5.27%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.86%EV -9.26%E -4.98%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.42%EV -8.62%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.71%EV -9.27%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 16:50
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -0.416%E -0.116%K -0.160%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 16:49
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:30
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:30
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.68%E -3.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -9.26%E -4.98%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -11.68%E -3.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 16:45
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -7.31%E -3.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.68%E -3.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.96%EV -12.19%E -6.77%K -15.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -11.68%E -3.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-30 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.59%EV -13.65%E -7.71%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -11.68%E -3.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.03%EV -13.16%E -7.39%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.27%EV -11.68%E -3.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -12.86%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-30 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -8.77%E -4.69%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 16:50
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.75%E -5.27%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 16:20
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.75%E -5.27%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.75%E -5.27%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 16:20
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -14.04%E -3.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.70%EV -10.23%E -5.56%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -14.04%E -3.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -7.31%E -3.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -15.21%E -4.23%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 16:50
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:28
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.65%EV -5.84%E -3.03%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -19.92%E -5.86%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.40%EV -6.33%E -3.30%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -21.10%E -6.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.53%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -21.10%E -6.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.53%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -21.10%E -6.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -10.72%E -5.86%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.68%EV -24.63%E -7.70%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.68%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-30 16:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-08-30 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-08-30 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-08-30 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-08-30 16:55
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-08-30 16:55