StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Mantova v Empoli

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-30 17:02 UTC

Endstand: Mantova 3–1 Empoli

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Mantova (Heim)

Prognose 48.79%2.05faire Quote
EV -2.43%
Vorteil -1.21%
Kelly -2.43%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.40%48.63%48.79%49.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.771.911.912.0056.50%52.31%52.36%50.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Empoli (Auswärts)

Prognose 23.55%4.25faire Quote
EV +2.22%
Vorteil +0.510%
Kelly +0.663%
Wachstum +0.015%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.34

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.25%23.71%23.51%26.68%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.203.783.774.3431.25%26.43%26.49%23.04%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.66%3.62faire Quote
EV -0.416%
Vorteil -0.116%
Kelly -0.160%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.45%27.66%27.70%28.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.103.333.303.6032.26%30.00%30.30%27.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Mantova (Heim): 48.79%; Empoli (Auswärts): 23.55%; Unentschieden: 27.66%. Für Empoli (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.25. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.34 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.22%.

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.52%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.25%EV +2.22%E +0.510%K +0.663%G +0.015%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.23%EV -5.40%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -1.08%E -0.258%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -1.08%E -0.258%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:50
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -1.08%E -0.258%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -3.44%E -0.838%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -7.79%E -4.12%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.44%E -0.838%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -8.28%E -4.41%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -4.61%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 16:50
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.49%EV -6.33%E -3.30%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.52%EV -4.85%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.63%E -0.747%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.84%E -3.03%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 16:20
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:44
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -8.77%E -4.69%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:50
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -8.77%E -4.69%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 16:55
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -8.77%E -4.69%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 16:54
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -8.77%E -4.69%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -8.77%E -4.69%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -5.84%E -3.03%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:18
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -7.31%E -3.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 16:54
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.75%E -5.27%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.86%EV -9.26%E -4.98%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.42%EV -8.62%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.71%EV -9.27%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 16:50
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -0.416%E -0.116%K -0.160%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 16:49
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:30
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:30
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.68%E -3.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -9.26%E -4.98%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -11.68%E -3.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 16:45
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -7.31%E -3.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.68%E -3.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.96%EV -12.19%E -6.77%K -15.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -11.68%E -3.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-30 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.59%EV -13.65%E -7.71%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -11.68%E -3.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.03%EV -13.16%E -7.39%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.27%EV -11.68%E -3.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -12.86%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-30 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -8.77%E -4.69%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 16:50
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.75%E -5.27%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 16:20
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.75%E -5.27%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.75%E -5.27%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 16:20
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -14.04%E -3.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.70%EV -10.23%E -5.56%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -14.04%E -3.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -7.31%E -3.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -15.21%E -4.23%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 16:50
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:28
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.65%EV -5.84%E -3.03%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -19.92%E -5.86%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.40%EV -6.33%E -3.30%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -21.10%E -6.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.53%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -21.10%E -6.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.53%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -21.10%E -6.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -10.72%E -5.86%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.68%EV -24.63%E -7.70%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.68%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-30 16:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-08-30 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-08-30 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-08-30 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-08-30 16:55
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-08-30 16:55