Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mantova v Empoli

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 17:02 UTC

Score final : Mantova 3–1 Empoli

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mantova (Local)

Prévision 48.79%2.05cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -2.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.40%48.63%48.79%49.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.771.911.912.0056.50%52.31%52.36%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Empoli (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.55%4.25cote équitable
EV +2.22%
Avantage +0.510%
Kelly +0.663%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 4.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.25%23.71%23.51%26.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.783.774.3431.25%26.43%26.49%23.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.66%3.62cote équitable
EV -0.416%
Avantage -0.116%
Kelly -0.160%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.45%27.66%27.70%28.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.333.303.6032.26%30.00%30.30%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Mantova (Local) : 48.79% ; Empoli (Visiteur) : 23.55% ; Match nul : 27.66%. Pour Empoli (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.25. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.34, soit une espérance positive de +2.22%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.52%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.25%EV +2.22%E +0.510%K +0.663%G +0.015%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.23%EV -5.40%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -1.08%E -0.258%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -1.08%E -0.258%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:50
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -1.08%E -0.258%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -3.44%E -0.838%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -7.79%E -4.12%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.44%E -0.838%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -8.28%E -4.41%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -4.61%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 16:50
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.49%EV -6.33%E -3.30%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.52%EV -4.85%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.63%E -0.747%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.84%E -3.03%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 16:20
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:44
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -8.77%E -4.69%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:50
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -8.77%E -4.69%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 16:55
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -8.77%E -4.69%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 16:54
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -8.77%E -4.69%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -8.77%E -4.69%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -5.84%E -3.03%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:18
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -7.31%E -3.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 16:54
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.75%E -5.27%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.86%EV -9.26%E -4.98%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.42%EV -8.62%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.71%EV -9.27%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 16:50
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -0.416%E -0.116%K -0.160%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 16:49
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:30
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:30
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.68%E -3.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -9.26%E -4.98%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -11.68%E -3.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 16:45
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -7.31%E -3.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.68%E -3.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.96%EV -12.19%E -6.77%K -15.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -11.68%E -3.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-30 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.59%EV -13.65%E -7.71%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -11.68%E -3.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.03%EV -13.16%E -7.39%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.27%EV -11.68%E -3.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -12.86%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-30 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -8.77%E -4.69%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 16:50
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.75%E -5.27%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 16:20
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.75%E -5.27%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.75%E -5.27%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 16:20
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -14.04%E -3.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.70%EV -10.23%E -5.56%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -14.04%E -3.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -7.31%E -3.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -15.21%E -4.23%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 16:50
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:28
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.18%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.65%EV -5.84%E -3.03%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -19.92%E -5.86%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.40%EV -6.33%E -3.30%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -21.10%E -6.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.53%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -21.10%E -6.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.53%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -21.10%E -6.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -10.72%E -5.86%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.68%EV -24.63%E -7.70%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.68%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-30 16:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-08-30 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-08-30 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-08-30 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-08-30 16:55
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-08-30 16:55