Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Juve Stabia v Cesena FC

2026-09-18 18:30 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Juve Stabia (Local)

Previsão 41.17%2.43odd justa
EV -2.43%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -1.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.47%41.10%41.17%42.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.212.202.3750.00%45.34%45.45%42.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cesena FC (Visitante)

Previsão 29.93%3.34odd justa
EV -2.72%
Vantagem -0.837%
Kelly -1.21%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.77%29.92%29.88%30.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.34%32.26%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.90%3.46odd justa
EV -1.75%
Vantagem -0.514%
Kelly -0.728%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.11%28.97%28.95%30.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.183.153.4033.33%31.48%31.75%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Juve Stabia (Local): 41.17%; Cesena FC (Visitante): 29.93%; Empate: 28.90%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.46. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.40, com valor esperado de -1.75%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.22%EV -2.43%E -1.02%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.55%EV -6.61%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.24%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 19:00
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.55%EV -4.90%E -2.12%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -8.71%E -2.85%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.73%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 19:00
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -5.71%E -1.81%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -1.75%E -0.514%K -0.728%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 18:50
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.20%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 20:00
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.20%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 19:50
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.20%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 19:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.20%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 19:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.20%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 19:50
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.22%E -1.32%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 18:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.08%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 18:50
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 18:51
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.20%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.08%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:55
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.20%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.08%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:55
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -8.60%E -3.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 18:50
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -8.60%E -3.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 18:51
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.43%E -4.28%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.20%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.43%E -4.28%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.20%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 18:50
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.43%E -4.28%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.20%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 18:49
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.72%E -0.837%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:45
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.72%E -0.837%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.72%E -0.837%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.72%E -0.837%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:45
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.72%E -0.837%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:45
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.72%E -0.837%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:46
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.72%E -0.837%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.72%E -0.837%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:46
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.72%E -0.837%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -11.49%E -5.34%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -11.70%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 18:50
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -13.54%E -6.45%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -13.54%E -6.45%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 17:46
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -13.54%E -6.45%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 17:46
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.74%EV -13.54%E -6.45%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.52%EV -11.10%E -3.74%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-12 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.54%E -6.45%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-12 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.89%EV -14.37%E -6.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 17:46
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -15.60%E -7.61%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.36%EV -11.70%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-12 18:51
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.65%EV -17.66%E -8.83%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.92%EV -11.70%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.65%G +0.000%17.2%2026-09-12 17:46
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 41.01%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.90%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.09%16.1%2026-09-12 18:51