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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Juve Stabia v Cesena FC

Inizio: 2026-09-18 18:30 UTC

Finale: Juve Stabia 1–1 Cesena FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Juve Stabia (Casa)

Previsione 41.59%2.40quota equa
EV -3.92%
Vantaggio -1.70%
Kelly -2.99%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.16%41.64%41.58%42.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.192.202.3150.00%45.59%45.45%43.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Cesena FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.71%3.37quota equa
EV -0.770%
Vantaggio -0.231%
Kelly -0.329%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.32%29.68%29.77%31.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.103.103.3434.72%32.25%32.26%29.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.70%3.48quota equa
EV -2.43%
Vantaggio -0.714%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.68%28.68%28.65%29.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.203.253.4033.33%31.21%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Juve Stabia (Casa): 41.59%; Cesena FC (Trasferta): 29.71%; Pareggio: 28.70%. Per Cesena FC (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.37. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.34, con un valore atteso del -0.770%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.92%EV -3.92%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.99%EV -0.770%E -0.231%K -0.329%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.08%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-18 15:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -4.34%E -1.89%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 05:15
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.34%E -1.89%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.43%E -0.714%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 09:04
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -4.34%E -1.89%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 04:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -4.34%E -1.89%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -5.17%E -2.27%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -5.17%E -2.27%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:25
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 18:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 05:11
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 12:04
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 12:05
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 06:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 09:05
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.36%E -4.19%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:30
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -14.44%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:30
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.88%EV -7.25%E -3.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.46%EV -5.82%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.65%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 15:25
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -7.66%E -3.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -11.04%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-17 10:01
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -7.66%E -3.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -11.04%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-17 05:11
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -1.96%E -0.593%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.17%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 12:03
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 08:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.04%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 07:30
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 15:23
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 15:23
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.04%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 09:05
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.04%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.04%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 09:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.04%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 09:05
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.17%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-15 09:05
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 09:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 15:28
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.04%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 04:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.04%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 04:19
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.04%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 04:20
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.33%E -4.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:45
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.33%E -4.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.33%E -4.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.33%E -4.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:45
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.33%E -4.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:45
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.33%E -4.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:46
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.33%E -4.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.33%E -4.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:46
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.33%E -4.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:45
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -9.33%E -4.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 12:05
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.04%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.17%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-17 05:10
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.91%E -4.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -12.36%E -4.19%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-17 05:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.23%EV -11.82%E -5.58%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.16%EV -8.79%E -2.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.60%EV -10.17%E -3.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 06:35
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -12.66%E -6.03%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -12.66%E -6.03%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 17:46
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -12.66%E -6.03%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 17:46
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.66%E -6.03%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -13.91%E -4.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-18 13:45
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -12.66%E -6.03%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.30%EV -14.44%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -11.04%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-18 05:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.89%EV -13.49%E -6.48%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 17:46
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.65%EV -16.82%E -8.41%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.92%EV -12.36%E -4.19%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -13.91%E -4.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%17.2%2026-09-18 01:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.65%EV -16.82%E -8.41%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.92%EV -12.36%E -4.19%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -13.91%E -4.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%17.2%2026-09-12 17:46
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-09-18 14:55
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-09-18 14:55